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Bohemians vs FC Midtjylland Prediction, Tips & Odds

Bohemians vs FC Midtjylland

UEFA Europa Conference League3rd Qualifying Round
Bohemians
DLWWW
0 - 2
Tallaght Stadium, Dublin
Referee: R. Vidican
FC Midtjylland
WWDWW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.63
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.58 (implied 63.4%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 65.9% probability (an expert ratio of 1.52). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (65.9% vs 63.4%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours FC Midtjylland to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. FC Midtjylland has shown solid form recently, winning three of their last five matches, including two consecutive victories. This momentum is key as they approach the knockout stage of the UEFA Europa Conference League. Their attacking capabilities have been highlighted by their recent performances, which will be crucial as they face Bohemians. Bohemians have also been competitive, with three wins in their last five matches, but they will need to maintain consistency against a strong opponent. Their form includes a recent loss, which could affect their confidence. While they have performed well at times this season, they will need to elevate their game to compete with FC Midtjylland's attacking strength. The model suggests a 60% win probability for FC Midtjylland, reflecting their recent form and experience in European competitions. A potential caveat for this prediction is that if Bohemians can capitalize on home advantage and create early pressure, they may disrupt Midtjylland's rhythm. The full methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the analysis is conducted using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Bohemians Win26%6.91
Draw18%4.87
FC Midtjylland Win56%1.36
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.8156.3%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.5860.7%

Combined goal output is high (3.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Bohemians 0-2 FC Midtjylland
6.5515.4%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.4% probability.

Asian Handicap
FC Midtjylland -0.0
1.1150%

FC Midtjylland have been the stronger side, winning 56% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
0-2
6.55
15.4%
0-1
7.20
14.0%
1-2
7.48
13.5%
0-3
8.42
12.0%
1-1
8.48
11.9%
1-3
9.67
10.5%

Our model projects a 0-2 FC Midtjylland win as the most likely scoreline at 15.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Bohemians
-0.0
5.52
FC Midtjylland
+0.0
1.11
Bohemians
-0.5
6.20
FC Midtjylland
+0.5
1.33
Bohemians
-1.5
12.00
FC Midtjylland
+1.5
2.10

Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. FC Midtjylland are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Bohemians vs FC Midtjylland
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
6.604.701.381.552.351.731.91
Marathonbet
7.205.001.351.592.291.811.87
Betfair
7.004.751.331.572.251.801.91
Pinnacle
6.865.271.351.582.32
SBO
6.384.311.33
William Hill
6.504.801.361.851.85
Bet365
6.505.001.361.572.351.831.83
1xBet
7.605.301.381.632.341.801.90
Unibet
8.005.001.331.582.181.871.80
888Sport
6.504.801.361.532.301.851.85
Betano
6.504.701.421.602.301.781.93
Superbet
6.704.901.381.572.251.831.88
BetVictor
7.504.801.361.572.211.781.93

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
Over 1.5 Goals
79.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
60.7%
Over 3.5 Goals
38.2%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XBohemians or Draw
44%2.94
12Bohemians or FC Midtjylland
82%1.14
X2Draw or FC Midtjylland
74%1.08

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (FC Midtjylland leads 1-0)
0 Bohemians0 Draw1 FC Midtjylland
06 Aug
Bohemians
0-1
FC Midtjylland
UEFA Europa Conference League

The head-to-head record between Bohemians and FC Midtjylland shows 0 wins for Bohemians and 1 win for FC Midtjylland, with no draws recorded. The only match played ended in a narrow 1-0 victory for FC Midtjylland, indicating a tightly contested fixture. As there is only one match in the sample, it is difficult to assess any patterns or trends, but Bohemians have not yet managed to secure a win against FC Midtjylland in their encounters.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
BohemiansFC Midtjylland
2.08Goals p.g.1.83
1.42Goals conceded p.g.1.17
25%Clean sheets36%
58%Win rate56%
3.5Avg goals in match3
1.83xG per game1.43
-0.10xGA per game-0.21
55%Possession %57%
4.2Shots on target / game5.4
5.6Corners per game5.8
Bohemians
Recent Form

Bohemians have won 2 of their last 5 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Galway United 1-1 and beat St Patrick's Athl. 2-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 1D 4L from the last 12 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: BohemiansAll competitions
02 Aug
Bohemians
1-1
Galway United
Premier Division
30 Jul
Ballkani
3-2
Bohemians
UEFA Europa Conference League
03 Jul
Drogheda United
0-2
Bohemians
Premier Division
26 Jun
Bohemians
2-0
St Patrick's Athl.
Premier Division
22 Jun
Shelbourne
0-3
Bohemians
Premier Division
19 Jun
Bohemians
1-2
Dundalk
Premier Division
7
Win
58%
1
Draw
8%
4
Lost
33%
FC Midtjylland
Recent Form

FC Midtjylland have won 10 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Lyngby 1-1 and beat Bohemians 0-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 20W 10D 6L from the last 36 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: FC MidtjyllandAll competitions
23 Aug
FC Midtjylland
1-0
Randers FC
Superliga
20 Aug
FC Midtjylland
2-0
HNK Rijeka
UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Aug
Lyngby
1-1
FC Midtjylland
Superliga
13 Aug
FC Midtjylland
3-2
Bohemians
UEFA Europa Conference League
06 Aug
Bohemians
0-2
FC Midtjylland
UEFA Europa Conference League
02 Aug
FC Midtjylland
2-1
AC Horsens
Superliga
20
Win
56%
10
Draw
28%
6
Lost
17%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Bohemians

No reported absences

FC Midtjylland

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
FC Midtjylland Win1.36 (55.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.58 (60.7%)
Both Teams Score1.81 (56.3%)
Value Bets
Bohemians Win6.91 (26.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.29 (39.3%)
BTTS No1.88 (43.7%)
Speculative
Draw4.87 (17.8%)

Yellow Card Prediction

R. Vidican has averaged 6.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.

Corner Prediction

Bohemians have averaged 5.6 corners per match at home; FC Midtjylland 5.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

FC Midtjylland have generated 1.43 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 56% of them. They put 5.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FC Midtjylland player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.