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KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction, Tips & Odds

KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers

UEFA Europa Conference LeaguePlayoff round
KuPS
WLDDW
VS
Vare Areena, Kuopio
Shamrock Rovers
LLWWD

Match Preview

The model favours Shamrock Rovers to win this matchup, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Shamrock Rovers have demonstrated solid form throughout the season, currently on a positive trajectory with three wins and one draw in their last five matches. Their consistency is underscored by a balanced attack and defence, which have allowed them to secure points against competitive opponents, indicating a team that is well-prepared for crucial fixtures. In contrast, KuPS has struggled with form recently, recording one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. This inconsistency could be a concern as they face a confident Shamrock Rovers side. KuPS will need to address their defensive vulnerabilities if they hope to challenge effectively in this playoff round, as their recent performances suggest a lack of rhythm and cohesion. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 60% for Shamrock Rovers, with the potential for a 2-1 victory. However, a key caveat is that if KuPS finds their form and capitalizes on any mistakes by the Rovers, they could turn the tide. For a deeper understanding of this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team outlines our in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)
0 KuPS1 Draw0 Shamrock Rovers
20 Aug
Shamrock Rovers
1-1
KuPS
UEFA Europa Conference League

The head-to-head record between KuPS and Shamrock Rovers shows 0 wins for KuPS, 0 wins for Shamrock Rovers, and 1 draw. The only match played ended in a 1-1 draw, indicating a balanced contest with both teams managing to score. This single fixture suggests a tightly contested encounter, with neither side able to secure a victory thus far. Given the limited sample size, it remains to be seen how future matches will unfold between these teams.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
KuPSShamrock Rovers
1.71Goals p.g.1.91
0.9Goals conceded p.g.1.23
38%Clean sheets23%
57%Win rate64%
2.62Avg goals in match3.14
3.10xG per game1.52
xGA per game-0.08
51%Possession %64%
3.6Shots on target / game6.4
4.4Corners per game4.0
KuPS
Recent Form

KuPS have won 4 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with KuPS 1-1 and drew with KuPS 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 3L from the last 21 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: KuPSAll competitions
16 Aug
Lahti
1-2
KuPS
Veikkausliiga
13 Aug
Universitatea Craiova
2-1
KuPS
UEFA Europa League
09 Aug
KuPS
1-1
Turku PS
Veikkausliiga
06 Aug
KuPS
1-1
Universitatea Craiova
UEFA Europa League
01 Aug
Gnistan
0-1
KuPS
Veikkausliiga
28 Jul
KuPS
0-2
Sabah FA
UEFA Champions League
12
Win
57%
6
Draw
29%
3
Lost
14%
Shamrock Rovers
Recent Form

Shamrock Rovers have won 4 of their last 10 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Shamrock Rovers 3-2 and lost to Egnatia Rrogozhinë 5-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 14W 2D 6L from the last 22 games (64% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Shamrock RoversAll competitions
16 Aug
St Patrick's Athl.
3-2
Shamrock Rovers
FAI Cup
13 Aug
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
5-1
Shamrock Rovers
UEFA Europa League
07 Aug
Shamrock Rovers
3-2
Dundalk
Premier Division
04 Aug
Shamrock Rovers
3-1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
UEFA Europa League
31 Jul
Drogheda United
0-0
Shamrock Rovers
Premier Division
28 Jul
Shamrock Rovers
2-1
Ararat-Armenia
UEFA Champions League
14
Win
64%
2
Draw
9%
6
Lost
27%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

KuPS

No reported absences

Shamrock Rovers

No reported absences

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.