SHANGHAI SIPG vs Qingdao Jonoon Prediction, Tips & Odds
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Qingdao Jonoon
Match Preview
The model favours Shanghai SIPG to win against Qingdao Jonoon, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned 12th in the league, Shanghai SIPG has had a somewhat inconsistent season with 7 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses from 21 matches. Their goal difference of +4 suggests they have been able to score more than they concede, contributing to a total of 22 points. Recent form shows they have secured 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches, indicating a potential uptick in performance. In contrast, Qingdao Jonoon sits at the bottom of the standings in 16th place and has struggled significantly this season, with only 6 wins and 3 draws from 22 matches, resulting in 14 points. Their goal difference of -11 reflects ongoing defensive issues, having conceded 41 goals while scoring just 30. Their form has been particularly concerning, with five consecutive losses in their last five matches, suggesting a lack of momentum and confidence. The model output indicates a strong win probability for Shanghai SIPG, but one caveat is their inconsistency; if they fail to convert chances or if defensive errors occur, the outcome could shift. The full method, which involves an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team provides insights based on comprehensive data analysis to inform these predictions.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.8% probability.
SHANGHAI SIPG have been the stronger side, winning 30% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 SHANGHAI SIPG win as the most likely scoreline at 12.8% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature SHANGHAI SIPG clean sheets, in line with their 21% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. SHANGHAI SIPG are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Qingdao Jonoon| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.30 | 5.45 | 7.90 | 1.36 | 2.69 | 1.66 | 2.06 | |
| 1.29 | 5.50 | 8.50 | 1.36 | 2.88 | — | — | |
| 1.32 | 5.61 | 7.98 | 1.40 | 2.86 | — | — | |
| 1.30 | 5.00 | 7.50 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.33 | 5.72 | 8.25 | 1.36 | 2.69 | 1.66 | 2.09 | |
| 1.30 | 5.00 | 7.50 | 1.40 | 2.80 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
Betano | 1.33 | 5.10 | 7.40 | 1.42 | 2.67 | 1.67 | 2.07 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 7 Meetings (SHANGHAI SIPG leads 6-1)In their last seven encounters, Shanghai SIPG has won 6 times, while Qingdao Jonoon has managed just 1 victory, with no draws recorded. The scorelines indicate a significant advantage for Shanghai SIPG, highlighted by three matches ending in a 5-0 victory and another 3-1 win. Qingdao Jonoon's solitary win came in May 2026, suggesting they have struggled in recent fixtures. Overall, the matches have tended to be relatively high-scoring, with SIPG frequently dominating the scorelines, reflecting a one-sided rivalry in recent years.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 48 | WLDDD |
| 2 |  Yunnan Yukun | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 34 | WWLWD |
| 3 |  Shandong Luneng | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 33 | WWWLL |
| 4 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 33 | DDWWD |
| 5 |  Beijing Guoan | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 32 | WWWDD |
| 6 |  Dalian Zhixing | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 | LWDLW |
| 9 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 25 | WWLWD |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 17 | LLWWW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 15 | LDWWL |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSHANGHAI SIPG have won 4 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to SHANGHAI SIPG 0-1 and beat SHANGHAI SIPG 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 10D 13L from the last 33 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Qingdao Jonoon have won 2 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 11. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 and lost to Qingdao Youth Island 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 8D 17L from the last 33 games (24% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSHANGHAI SIPG
No reported absences
Qingdao Jonoon
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
SHANGHAI SIPG have averaged 5.4 corners per match at home; Qingdao Jonoon 3.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
SHANGHAI SIPG have generated 1.16 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 30% of them. They put 4.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. SHANGHAI SIPG player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.