Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction, Tips & Odds
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown
Match Preview
The model favours Hangzhou Greentown to win against Sichuan Jiuniu, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Hangzhou currently sits in 8th place with 24 points from 21 matches, boasting a record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses. Their goal difference of -5 indicates a competitive season, and they have scored 31 goals while conceding 36. Hangzhou's recent form, with two wins in the last five matches, suggests they are gaining momentum. On the other hand, Sichuan Jiuniu is positioned 10th with 23 points from 22 matches, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 13 losses. Their goal difference of -11 reflects struggles defensively, as they have conceded 41 goals while scoring 30. Recent performances have been less than ideal, with only one win in their last five games, indicating challenges in both scoring and maintaining defensive solidity. The model output indicates a win probability of around 45% for Hangzhou Greentown, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage to note is the likelihood of at least two goals being scored in the match. However, a potential caveat is Sichuan Jiuniu's ability to capitalize on home advantage, which could disrupt Hangzhou's plans. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, created by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.0% probability.
Sichuan Jiuniu have been the stronger side, winning 34% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Sichuan Jiuniu are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.41 | 3.62 | 2.58 | 1.47 | 2.35 | 1.43 | 2.58 | |
| 2.40 | 3.70 | 2.55 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.48 | 3.63 | 2.65 | 1.53 | 2.49 | — | — | |
| 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.60 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 2.48 | 3.72 | 2.66 | 1.47 | 2.35 | 1.43 | 2.63 | |
| 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.60 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.44 | 2.63 | |
Betano | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.60 | 1.52 | 2.42 | 1.44 | 2.62 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 8 Meetings (Hangzhou Greentown leads 5-2)In the last eight matches between Sichuan Jiuniu and Hangzhou Greentown, Hangzhou Greentown has won five times, Sichuan Jiuniu has won twice, and there has been one draw. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Hangzhou Greentown to secure decisive victories, with four matches ending in wins by two or more goals, including a 4-1 FA Cup win. Sichuan Jiuniu's successes have been narrower, with their two victories coming by a single goal margin. The last time Sichuan Jiuniu defeated Hangzhou Greentown was in 2024, suggesting a recent dominance by the latter.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 48 | WLDDD |
| 2 |  Yunnan Yukun | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 34 | WWLWD |
| 3 |  Shandong Luneng | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 33 | WWWLL |
| 4 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 33 | DDWWD |
| 5 |  Beijing Guoan | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 32 | WWWDD |
| 6 |  Dalian Zhixing | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 | LWDLW |
| 8 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 26 | WLWLL |
| 11 | Hangzhou Greentown | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 24 | LLWDW |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 17 | LLWWW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 15 | LDWWL |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSichuan Jiuniu have won 8 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Sichuan Jiuniu 2-0 and beat Sichuan Jiuniu 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 4D 17L from the last 32 games (34% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Hangzhou Greentown have won 4 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Beijing Guoan 2-1 and lost to Shanghai Shenhua 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 11D 11L from the last 31 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSichuan Jiuniu
No reported absences
Hangzhou Greentown
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Sichuan Jiuniu have averaged 5.6 corners per match at home; Hangzhou Greentown 5.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Sichuan Jiuniu have generated 1.55 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 34% of them. They put 4.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Sichuan Jiuniu player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.