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Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda Prediction, Tips & Odds

Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda

Super LeagueRegular Season - 24
Wuhan Three Towns
#15 · Super League
LDWDL
VS
Wuhan Sports Centre, Wuhan
Tianjin Teda
#14 · Super League
LLWWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.61 (implied 62.2%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 64.7% probability (an expert ratio of 1.55). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (64.7% vs 62.2%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Tianjin Teda to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Wuhan Three Towns. Currently, Tianjin Teda sits in 14th place in the league, having secured 17 points from 20 matches with a record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses. Their goal difference of +5 reflects a more robust offensive output compared to their opponents. Notably, Tianjin has shown recent form with four wins in their last five matches, indicating a surge in confidence as they approach this fixture. In contrast, Wuhan Three Towns is struggling at 15th in the standings, with only 15 points from their 20 games. Their season record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses has left them with a negative goal difference of -7. While they have managed to secure two wins in their last five matches, their overall form has been inconsistent, making it challenging for them to climb the table. The model suggests Tianjin Teda has a win probability of approximately 55%, while the projected score is 2-1. One key market to consider is the likelihood of Tianjin scoring at least two goals. However, if Wuhan can tighten their defence and exploit any lapses in Tianjin's form, they may pose a threat. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Wuhan Three Towns Win43%2.23
Draw23%3.42
Tianjin Teda Win34%3.00
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.6158.2%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.7654.7%

Combined goal output is high (2.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 Tianjin Teda
6.4315.6%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.6% probability.

Asian Handicap
Wuhan Three Towns -0.3
1.9137%

Wuhan Three Towns have been the stronger side, winning 13% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.43
15.6%
2-1
8.53
11.7%
1-0
8.96
11.2%
1-2
10.15
9.9%
0-1
10.20
9.8%
0-0
10.96
9.4%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Wuhan Three Towns
-0.0
1.65
Tianjin Teda
+0.0
2.22
Wuhan Three Towns
-0.3
1.91
Tianjin Teda
+0.3
2.55
Wuhan Three Towns
-1.5
4.00
Tianjin Teda
+1.5
6.00

Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Wuhan Three Towns are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
2.213.422.991.762.011.602.16
Betfair
2.203.602.90
Pinnacle
2.273.483.061.762.04
William Hill
2.203.303.001.622.20
1xBet
2.283.523.081.792.051.602.19
888Sport
2.203.303.001.751.951.622.20
Betano
2.223.353.001.752.001.602.20

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
75.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
54.7%
Over 3.5 Goals
32.9%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XWuhan Three Towns or Draw
66%1.37
12Wuhan Three Towns or Tianjin Teda
77%1.29
X2Draw or Tianjin Teda
57%1.62

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Wuhan Three Towns leads 5-3)
5 Wuhan Three Towns2 Draw3 Tianjin Teda
01 May
Tianjin Teda
2-2
Wuhan Three Towns
Super League
Sept 25
Tianjin Teda
4-0
Wuhan Three Towns
Super League
Apr 25
Wuhan Three Towns
2-1
Tianjin Teda
Super League
Aug 24
Tianjin Teda
1-0
Wuhan Three Towns
Super League
Apr 24
Wuhan Three Towns
2-1
Tianjin Teda
Super League
Sept 23
Wuhan Three Towns
0-1
Tianjin Teda
Super League
Jun 23
Tianjin Teda
1-1
Wuhan Three Towns
Super League
Dec 22
Wuhan Three Towns
3-0
Tianjin Teda
Super League
Dec 22
Wuhan Three Towns
3-0
Tianjin Teda
FA Cup
Oct 22
Tianjin Teda
0-1
Wuhan Three Towns
Super League

The head-to-head record between Wuhan Three Towns and Tianjin Teda stands at 5 wins for Wuhan, 3 wins for Tianjin, and 2 draws over the last 10 matches. The scorelines indicate a mix of close contests and a few decisive victories, with Wuhan achieving two 3-0 wins, suggesting they have had some dominant performances. However, Tianjin has also secured a significant 4-0 win in this period. The matches have generally been competitive, with three matches ending in draws, and the last victory for Tianjin occurred in September 2023, indicating they have struggled to find consistent success against Wuhan recently.

Super League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Chengdu Better City
23146345242148
WLDDD
2
Yunnan Yukun
2310494642434
WWLWD
3
Shandong Luneng
2312384238433
WWWLL
4
Qingdao Youth Island
2371242629-333
DDWWD
5
Beijing Guoan
22107542291332
WWWDD
6
Dalian Zhixing
22102103339-632
LWDLW
14
Tianjin Teda
227693230217
LLWWW
15
Wuhan Three Towns
214893038-815
LDWWL
16
Qingdao Jonoon
2363143144-1314
LLLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Wuhan Three TownsHome
4W2D4L
10 playedGF 15 · GA 131.40 pts/game
Tianjin TedaAway
4W3D4L
11 playedGF 15 · GA 121.36 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Wuhan Three TownsTianjin Teda
1.23Goals p.g.1.35
2Goals conceded p.g.1.35
17%Clean sheets26%
13%Win rate29%
3.23Avg goals in match2.71
1.67xG per game1.16
44%Possession %45%
4.7Shots on target / game3.9
3.3Corners per game5.1
Wuhan Three Towns
Recent Form

Wuhan Three Towns have won 4 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include lost to SHANGHAI SIPG 2-3 and beat Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 4W 11D 15L from the last 30 games (13% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Wuhan Three TownsAll competitions
14 Aug
Wuhan Three Towns
2-3
SHANGHAI SIPG
Super League
01 Aug
Chengdu Better City
1-1
Wuhan Three Towns
Super League
25 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns
1-0
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Super League
21 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns
2-2
Shandong Luneng
FA Cup
04 Jul
Dalian Zhixing
3-2
Wuhan Three Towns
Super League
27 Jun
Beijing Guoan
1-0
Wuhan Three Towns
Super League
4
Win
13%
11
Draw
37%
15
Lost
50%
Tianjin Teda
Recent Form

Tianjin Teda have won 3 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Shandong Luneng 2-1 and beat Qingdao Jonoon 0-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 9W 9D 13L from the last 31 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Tianjin TedaAll competitions
15 Aug
Tianjin Teda
2-4
Beijing Guoan
Super League
09 Aug
Shandong Luneng
2-1
Tianjin Teda
Super League
01 Aug
Tianjin Teda
3-2
Yunnan Yukun
Super League
25 Jul
Qingdao Jonoon
0-2
Tianjin Teda
Super League
04 Jul
Tianjin Teda
3-0
Sichuan Jiuniu
Super League
27 Jun
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1-0
Tianjin Teda
Super League
9
Win
29%
9
Draw
29%
13
Lost
42%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Wuhan Three Towns

No reported absences

Tianjin Teda

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Both Teams Score1.61 (58.2%)
Value Bets
Wuhan Three Towns Win2.23 (42.8%)
Tianjin Teda Win3.00 (34.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.76 (54.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.01 (45.3%)
BTTS No2.19 (41.8%)
Speculative
Draw3.42 (22.9%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Wuhan Three Towns have averaged 3.3 corners per match at home; Tianjin Teda 5.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Wuhan Three Towns have generated 1.67 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 13% of them. They put 4.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Wuhan Three Towns player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.