SHANGHAI SIPG vs Dalian Zhixing Prediction, Tips & Odds
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Dalian Zhixing
Match Preview
The model favours Dalian Zhixing to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned 3rd in the league, Dalian Zhixing has shown strong performance throughout the season with 10 wins from 21 matches. Their goal-scoring ability has been somewhat balanced, with 32 goals scored and 36 conceded. Recent form showcases a mixed bag with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, indicating they are competitive but may struggle defensively. On the other hand, Shanghai SIPG finds itself in 12th place, having garnered only 22 points from 21 games. With 7 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, their overall season performance has been inconsistent. However, they have managed to score 33 goals while conceding 29, demonstrating a slightly positive goal difference. Their recent form shows two wins, two draws, and one loss, suggesting they are capable of competing effectively but have not been as consistent as their opponents. The model output indicates a win probability favouring Dalian Zhixing, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market percentage is not provided, but it is important to note that while Dalian Zhixing appears to be the stronger side, they could be vulnerable if their defence falters. For a detailed look at how the prediction was determined, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team explains their in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.9% probability.
SHANGHAI SIPG have been the stronger side, winning 30% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 SHANGHAI SIPG win as the most likely scoreline at 12.9% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature SHANGHAI SIPG clean sheets, in line with their 21% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. SHANGHAI SIPG are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Dalian Zhixing| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.43 | 4.40 | 6.00 | 1.45 | 2.62 | 1.53 | 2.25 | |
| 1.41 | 4.65 | 6.45 | 1.38 | 2.62 | 1.56 | 2.24 | |
| 1.44 | 4.75 | 6.00 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.60 | 2.30 | |
| 1.42 | 4.76 | 6.79 | 1.43 | 2.81 | — | — | |
| 1.41 | 3.88 | 4.72 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.00 | — | — | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 1.45 | 5.00 | 5.75 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.45 | 4.79 | 6.64 | 1.38 | 2.62 | 1.56 | 2.28 | |
| 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.00 | 1.44 | 2.63 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
Betano | 1.47 | 4.50 | 5.70 | 1.44 | 2.60 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.60 | 6.00 | 1.40 | 2.70 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 3 Meetings (SHANGHAI SIPG leads 2-1)In the last three encounters between Shanghai SIPG and Dalian Zhixing, the head-to-head record stands at two wins for Shanghai SIPG and one win for Dalian Zhixing, with no draws. The scorelines indicate a generally favorable outcome for Shanghai SIPG, highlighted by a decisive 3-0 victory and a narrow 1-0 win, while Dalian Zhixing managed a solitary 1-0 win. This suggests that while Dalian Zhixing has had some success, the overall trend leans towards Shanghai SIPG, particularly with two of their victories being without conceding.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 48 | WLDDD |
| 2 |  Yunnan Yukun | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 34 | WWLWD |
| 3 |  Shandong Luneng | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 33 | WWWLL |
| 4 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 33 | DDWWD |
| 5 |  Beijing Guoan | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 32 | WWWDD |
| 6 | Dalian Zhixing | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 | LWDLW |
| 9 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 25 | WWLWD |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 17 | LLWWW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 15 | LDWWL |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSHANGHAI SIPG have won 4 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to SHANGHAI SIPG 0-1 and beat SHANGHAI SIPG 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 10D 13L from the last 33 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Dalian Zhixing have won 2 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Dalian Zhixing 3-1 and drew with Henan Jianye 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 7D 15L from the last 31 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSHANGHAI SIPG
No reported absences
Dalian Zhixing
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
SHANGHAI SIPG have averaged 5.4 corners per match at home; Dalian Zhixing 5.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
SHANGHAI SIPG have generated 1.16 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 30% of them. They put 4.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. SHANGHAI SIPG player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.