Celtic vs Rangers Prediction, Tips & Odds
Celtic vs Rangers
Match Preview
The model favours Celtic to win against Rangers, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Celtic currently leads the Premiership with a perfect record of five wins from five matches, scoring 13 goals and conceding only three. Their strong goal difference of +10 highlights their attacking prowess and defensive stability, making them a formidable opponent at home. On the other hand, Rangers sit in fourth place with three wins, one draw, and one loss from their five matches. While they have managed to score six goals, their defensive record shows a slight vulnerability with four goals conceded. Despite their recent form mirroring Celtic’s—with four wins in their last five—Rangers will need to elevate their performance to challenge the league leaders effectively. According to the model, Celtic has a win probability of 51.7%, while a draw is at 24.5% and Rangers at 23.8%. One caveat to consider is that if Rangers can exploit any defensive lapses from Celtic, they could potentially turn the match in their favour. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, utilizing an in-house model that analyzes expected goals and actual results over the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.9% probability.
Celtic have been the stronger side, winning 68% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Celtic are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Celtic vs Rangers| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.11 | 3.62 | 3.08 | 1.49 | 2.30 | 1.46 | 2.49 | |
| 2.15 | 3.70 | 3.10 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.47 | 2.63 | |
| 2.18 | 3.75 | 3.24 | 1.58 | 2.47 | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 3.43 | 2.76 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.00 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.50 | |
| 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.10 | 1.53 | 2.50 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.08 | 1.49 | 2.30 | 1.46 | 2.53 | |
Betano | 2.25 | 3.80 | 3.15 | 1.60 | 2.42 | 1.47 | 2.55 |
BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.75 | 3.10 | 1.53 | 2.29 | 1.44 | 2.55 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Rangers leads 3-2)In the last 10 matches between Celtic and Rangers, Celtic has won 2 times, Rangers has won 3 times, and there have been 5 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several closely contested games, evidenced by 5 matches ending in draws and multiple fixtures featuring narrow margins. Notably, there have been a few high-scoring encounters, such as Celtic's 3-3 draw and their 3-1 victory. The last time Celtic won against Rangers was in late 2024, while Rangers' most recent win was in early 2026, suggesting a balanced contest with no clear dominance from either side in recent history.
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Rangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 13 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 | WWWWL |
| 4 |  ST Mirren | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 | LLWDW |
| 5 |  Motherwell | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 | LWDDW |
| 6 |  Dundee | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | LDLWW |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 4 | DLLLW |
| 11 |  Falkirk | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 | DLLDL |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 1 | DLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonCeltic have won 13 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Celtic 3-0 and beat Celtic 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 5D 5L from the last 31 games (68% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Rangers have won 5 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Falkirk 1-2 and beat Aberdeen 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 7D 7L from the last 27 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedCeltic3-4-3Confirmed
Rangers4-4-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersCeltic
No reported absences
Rangers
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Celtic have averaged 7.4 corners per match at home; Rangers 6.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Celtic have generated 2.24 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 68% of them. They put 5.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Celtic player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.