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FK Partizan vs Getafe Prediction, Tips & Odds

FK Partizan vs Getafe

UEFA Europa Conference LeaguePlayoff round
FK Partizan
LLLLW
2 - 1
Stadion Partizana, Belgrade
Referee: U. Schnyder
Getafe
DDLLW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.79
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.74 (implied 57.6%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 60.1% probability (an expert ratio of 1.66). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (60.1% vs 57.6%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours FK Partizan to win against Getafe, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. FK Partizan has shown strong form recently, securing four wins in their last five matches. This impressive performance suggests they are hitting their stride at a crucial point in the season. In contrast, Getafe's recent form has been less encouraging, with only one win in their last five matches. Their record of two draws and two losses indicates difficulties in finding consistency. This inconsistency could be a significant factor as they face a confident Partizan side. According to the model, FK Partizan has a win probability of 60%, while the key market percentage indicates a 55% chance for them to cover the spread. However, one potential caveat for Partizan is the pressure of playing at home, which can sometimes lead to unexpected performances. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilizes an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
FK Partizan Win33%3.27
Draw24%3.24
Getafe Win43%2.14
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.8150.8%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.7454.4%

FK Partizan manage games at home, conceding just 1.41 goals per match. Getafe score 0.91 on the road.

Correct Score
FK Partizan 1-1 Getafe
5.8317.2%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.2% probability.

Asian Handicap
Getafe -0.0
1.5537%

Getafe have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
5.83
17.2%
0-1
6.58
15.3%
1-2
8.16
12.4%
0-0
8.18
12.3%
1-0
8.61
11.7%
0-2
9.07
11.2%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
FK Partizan
-0.0
2.37
Getafe
+0.0
1.55
FK Partizan
-0.3
2.80
Getafe
+0.3
1.85
FK Partizan
-0.5
3.10
Getafe
+0.5
2.08
FK Partizan
-1.5
7.50
Getafe
+1.5
3.50

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Getafe are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

FK Partizan vs Getafe
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
3.253.352.152.101.731.831.85
Marathonbet
3.253.242.162.051.731.801.88
Betfair
3.303.202.052.001.731.871.87
Pinnacle
3.293.342.172.091.75
SBO
3.123.022.012.081.70
William Hill
3.253.102.151.831.91
Bet365
3.253.202.102.051.751.831.83
1xBet
3.383.362.232.071.791.791.92
Unibet
3.353.302.161.931.761.721.96
Betano
3.303.252.182.071.721.821.90
Superbet
3.253.252.202.051.721.821.90
BetVictor
3.253.302.151.971.711.781.91

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
88.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
70.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
45.6%
Over 3.5 Goals
26.5%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XFK Partizan or Draw
57%1.66
12FK Partizan or Getafe
76%1.29
X2Draw or Getafe
67%1.29

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Getafe leads 1-0)
0 FK Partizan0 Draw1 Getafe
20 Aug
Getafe
3-1
FK Partizan
UEFA Europa Conference League

In their only previous encounter, Getafe emerged victorious against FK Partizan, winning 3-1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League. This result indicates a decisive win for Getafe, suggesting a one-sided nature to their meeting. The scoreline reflects a clear advantage, with Getafe scoring three goals while limiting Partizan to just one. There have been no draws in their history, and FK Partizan has not yet secured a win against Getafe. This match provides an early indication of how these teams may compete against each other in future fixtures.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
FK PartizanGetafe
1.71Goals p.g.0.91
1.41Goals conceded p.g.0.94
24%Clean sheets32%
41%Win rate38%
3.12Avg goals in match1.85
2.55xG per game0.69
xGA per game0.29
56%Possession %45%
4.2Shots on target / game2.5
4.2Corners per game3.3
FK Partizan
Recent Form

FK Partizan have won 4 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to FK Partizan 0-1 and lost to FK Partizan 1-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 4D 6L from the last 17 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: FK PartizanAll competitions
23 Aug
Mladost Lucani
3-1
FK Partizan
Super Liga
20 Aug
Getafe
3-1
FK Partizan
UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Aug
FK Partizan
0-1
Radnicki 1923
Super Liga
02 Aug
FK Partizan
1-2
IMT Novi Beograd
Super Liga
26 Jul
Macva
1-3
FK Partizan
Super Liga
23 Jul
FK Partizan
4-0
UNA Strassen
UEFA Europa Conference League
7
Win
41%
4
Draw
24%
6
Lost
35%
Getafe
Recent Form

Getafe have won 5 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Osasuna 1-0 and lost to FK Partizan 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 13W 8D 13L from the last 34 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: GetafeAll competitions
13 Sept
Getafe
1-1
Deportivo La Coruna
La Liga
07 Sept
Getafe
1-1
Celta Vigo
La Liga
31 Aug
Osasuna
1-0
Getafe
La Liga
27 Aug
FK Partizan
2-1
Getafe
UEFA Europa Conference League
23 Aug
Getafe
1-0
Racing Santander
La Liga
20 Aug
Getafe
3-1
FK Partizan
UEFA Europa Conference League
13
Win
38%
8
Draw
24%
13
Lost
38%

Lineups

Confirmed

FK Partizan3-4-3Confirmed

14Iddrisu BabaDEF
40Nikola SimicDEF
44Stefan MilićDEF
19Demba SeckFWD
89JehFWD
27Nikola ČumićFWD
31Miloš KrunićGK
30Milan RoganovićMID
20Samson NwuluMID
11Milan VukotićMID
10Igor MiladinovićMID
5Mateja MilovanovićDEF
23Stefan MitrovićDEF
24Vukašin ĐurđevićDEF
33Stefan PetrovićDEF
46Marko LekićFWD
99Bogdan KostićFWD
17Milan AleksićFWD
9Erik KojzekFWD
1Marko MiloševićGK
8Aleks ZekovićMID
7Chaka TraorèMID
90Zoran AlilovićMID

Getafe5-3-2Confirmed

22Johan MojicaDEF
17Kiko FemeníaDEF
4Saba SazonovDEF
2DjenéDEF
24Zaid RomeroDEF
10Martín SatrianoFWD
19Enes ÜnalFWD
13David SoriaGK
11Ramón TerratsMID
16Francho SerranoMID
23Orel MangalaMID
26Jean Ives ValouDEF
21Andrés GarcíaDEF
15Sebastián BoselliDEF
3DavinchiDEF
9Borja MayoralFWD
27Ebrahima Drammeh JaitehFWD
35Diego FerrerGK
1Jiří LetáčekGK
6Mario MartínMID
28Alberto RiscoMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

FK Partizan

No reported absences

Getafe

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

Value Bets
FK Partizan Win3.27 (33.2%)
Getafe Win2.14 (42.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.04 (45.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.74 (54.4%)
Both Teams Score1.81 (50.8%)
BTTS No1.89 (49.2%)
Speculative
Draw3.24 (24.2%)

Yellow Card Prediction

U. Schnyder has averaged 6.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.

Corner Prediction

FK Partizan have averaged 4.2 corners per match at home; Getafe 3.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Getafe have generated 0.69 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 2.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Getafe player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.