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Gaziantep FK vs Rizespor Prediction, Tips & Odds

Gaziantep FK vs Rizespor

Süper LigRegular Season - 3
Gaziantep FK
#6 · Süper Lig
WDWWD
VS
Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep (35,558)
Rizespor
#12 · Süper Lig
LWWDL
★ OUR PICK
Gaziantep FK to Win
Slight home form and superior underlying numbers over Rizespor make Gaziantep FK the value pick here.
Moneyline
2.48
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 2.48 (implied 40.3%) for Gaziantep FK to Win. Our experts calculate a 45.2% probability (an expert ratio of 2.21). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (45.2% vs 40.3%), driven by Gaziantep FK's stronger form and superior underlying numbers. The price even sits above our fair value, so you are paid more than the true probability suggests.

Match Preview

The model favours Rizespor to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. Rizespor currently holds a strong position in the league, sitting in second place after their opening match of the season, where they secured a win without conceding a goal. Their early form, with three wins in their last five matches, demonstrates a solid start to the season, particularly highlighted by their defensive strength. In contrast, Gaziantep FK sits in sixth place after their first match, which ended in a draw. Their recent form shows two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, indicating a mixed performance. Despite their solid record, they will need to improve their goal-scoring ability, having only managed one goal so far this season. The model gives Rizespor a win probability of around 60%, reflecting their stronger start and overall form. However, a potential caveat for Rizespor could be complacency, as they may underestimate a Gaziantep side that can be unpredictable at home. For further details on our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the The Daily Punt Analysis Team explains our in-house model based on expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Gaziantep FK Win45%2.48
Draw22%3.94
Rizespor Win33%2.68
Asian Handicap
Gaziantep FK -0.0
1.8739%

Gaziantep FK have been the stronger side, winning 29% of their matches.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Gaziantep FK
-0.0
1.87
Rizespor
+0.0
2.02

Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Gaziantep FK are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Gaziantep FK vs Rizespor
Bookmaker1X2
1X2
1xBet
2.483.942.68

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XGaziantep FK or Draw
67%
12Gaziantep FK or Rizespor
78%
X2Draw or Rizespor
55%

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Rizespor leads 5-4)
4 Gaziantep FK1 Draw5 Rizespor
13 Apr
Rizespor
2-1
Gaziantep FK
Süper Lig
Dec 25
Rizespor
5-2
Gaziantep FK
Türkiye Kupası
Nov 25
Gaziantep FK
2-2
Rizespor
Süper Lig
May 25
Rizespor
2-0
Gaziantep FK
Süper Lig
Dec 24
Gaziantep FK
1-0
Rizespor
Süper Lig
Mar 24
Rizespor
3-1
Gaziantep FK
Süper Lig
Nov 23
Gaziantep FK
2-0
Rizespor
Süper Lig
May 22
Gaziantep FK
2-0
Rizespor
Süper Lig
Dec 21
Rizespor
0-1
Gaziantep FK
Süper Lig
May 21
Gaziantep FK
4-5
Rizespor
Süper Lig

In the last 10 matches between Gaziantep FK and Rizespor, Rizespor has won 5 times, Gaziantep FK has won 4 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches being closely contested, including a high-scoring encounter that ended 5-4 in favor of Rizespor. Moreover, both teams have had periods of dominance, but Rizespor's recent victories suggest a slight edge, particularly with two wins by a margin of at least two goals. The last draw occurred in November 2025, highlighting a trend of decisive outcomes in their encounters.

Süper Lig Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
22003126
WW
2
Galatasaray
21106244
WD
3
Samsunspor
21105324
WD
4
Trabzonspor
21103214
WD
5
Alanyaspor
21102114
WD
6
Gaziantep FK
21102114
WD
12
Rizespor
210112-13
LW
16
Kocaelispor
100102-20
L
17
Konyaspor
200225-30
LL
18
Erzurumspor FK
200207-70
LL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Gaziantep FKHome
0W1D0L
1 playedGF 1 · GA 11.00 pts/game
RizesporAway
1W0D0L
1 playedGF 1 · GA 03.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Gaziantep FKRizespor
1.33Goals p.g.1.41
1.5Goals conceded p.g.1.44
17%Clean sheets26%
29%Win rate37%
2.83Avg goals in match2.85
1.06xG per game1.00
-0.32xGA per game-0.22
50%Possession %52%
4.0Shots on target / game4.0
5.0Corners per game5.3
Gaziantep FK
Recent Form

Gaziantep FK have won 2 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Gaziantep FK 1-1 and lost to Gaziantep FK 1-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 7D 10L from the last 24 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Gaziantep FKAll competitions
23 Aug
Eyüpspor
0-1
Gaziantep FK
Süper Lig
15 Aug
Gaziantep FK
1-1
Alanyaspor
Süper Lig
03 Aug
IMT Novi Beograd
0-3
Gaziantep FK
Friendlies Clubs
28 Jul
OFK Beograd
1-2
Gaziantep FK
Friendlies Clubs
23 Jul
FK Vozdovac
1-1
Gaziantep FK
Friendlies Clubs
16 May
Gaziantep FK
1-2
Başakşehir
Süper Lig
7
Win
29%
7
Draw
29%
10
Lost
42%
Rizespor
Recent Form

Rizespor have won 3 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Konyaspor 0-1 and beat NK Osijek 1-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 10W 8D 9L from the last 27 games (37% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: RizesporAll competitions
22 Aug
Rizespor
0-2
Samsunspor
Süper Lig
15 Aug
Konyaspor
0-1
Rizespor
Süper Lig
08 Aug
Rizespor
2-1
Pyramids FC
Friendlies Clubs
31 Jul
Rizespor
0-0
Abha
Friendlies Clubs
28 Jul
Rizespor
1-2
Hull City
Friendlies Clubs
25 Jul
NK Osijek
1-3
Rizespor
Friendlies Clubs
10
Win
37%
8
Draw
30%
9
Lost
33%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Gaziantep FK

No reported absences

Rizespor

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

Value Bets
Gaziantep FK Win2.48 (45.2%)
Rizespor Win2.68 (33.2%)
Speculative
Draw3.94 (21.5%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Gaziantep FK have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; Rizespor 5.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Gaziantep FK have generated 1.06 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 29% of them. They put 4.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Gaziantep FK player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Gaziantep FK to Win

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.