Hibernian vs Gent Prediction, Tips & Odds
Hibernian vs Gent
Match Preview
The model favours a draw between Hibernian and Gent, projecting a scoreline of 1-1. Hibernian has shown a mixed bag of form recently, recording three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Their ability to secure points is evident, but inconsistency could be their Achilles' heel in this matchup. On the other hand, Gent has been more stable, remaining unbeaten in their last five fixtures with two wins and three draws. This steadiness could provide them with the confidence needed to navigate a challenging away game. Their recent form suggests they are difficult to beat, which might play a crucial role in this playoff round. The model indicates a balanced contest, with both teams having a 30% chance of winning, leading to the predicted draw. However, Hibernian's home advantage could sway the outcome if they manage to convert their chances effectively. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model evaluates the fixture through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Hibernian manage games at home, conceding just 1.20 goals per match. Gent score 1.44 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.1% probability.
Gent have been the stronger side, winning 35% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 18.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Gent are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Hibernian vs Gent| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.78 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 1.85 | 1.80 | |
| 2.83 | 3.15 | 2.45 | 2.27 | 1.60 | 1.90 | 1.78 | |
| 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.40 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 1.91 | 1.83 | |
| 2.77 | 3.18 | 2.57 | 2.32 | 1.61 | — | — | |
| 2.53 | 2.88 | 2.45 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.45 | — | — | 1.91 | 1.83 | |
| 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.45 | 2.35 | 1.57 | 2.00 | 1.73 | |
| 2.93 | 3.26 | 2.54 | 2.32 | 1.64 | 1.90 | 1.80 | |
| 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.55 | 2.12 | 1.63 | 1.82 | 1.85 | |
Betano | 2.85 | 3.35 | 2.52 | 2.32 | 1.65 | 1.98 | 1.78 |
Superbet | 2.92 | 3.25 | 2.50 | 2.30 | 1.62 | 2.00 | 1.76 |
BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.10 | 2.45 | 2.19 | 1.58 | 1.93 | 1.78 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between Hibernian and Gent stands at 0 wins for Hibernian, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Gent. Their only encounter ended in a 0-0 draw, indicating a tightly contested match with neither side able to find the net. This result suggests a balanced matchup, with no clear advantage for either team in their historical fixtures. As it stands, both clubs have yet to secure a victory against one another, making their future meetings potentially unpredictable.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonHibernian have won 7 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Hibernian 1-3 and lost to Hibernian 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 7D 13L from the last 35 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Gent have won 6 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Hibernian 2-3 and drew with LNZ Cherkasy 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 13D 9L from the last 34 games (35% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedHibernian4-3-3Confirmed
Gent4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersHibernian
No reported absences
Gent
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
J. Martinez has averaged 4.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Hibernian have averaged 5.1 corners per match at home; Gent 4.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Gent have generated 1.30 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 35% of them. They put 2.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Gent player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.