Kashima vs Urawa Prediction, Tips & Odds
Kashima vs Urawa
Match Preview
The model favours Kashima to win against Urawa with a projected scoreline of 3-1. Currently positioned third in the J1 League, Kashima has made an impressive start to the season, winning all three of their matches and scoring nine goals while conceding six. Their strong form is underscored by a perfect record, with five consecutive victories, showcasing their attacking prowess and defensive resilience. In contrast, Urawa finds themselves at the bottom of the table in 19th place, having lost all three of their matches so far. They have managed to score only five goals but have conceded eleven, resulting in a goal difference of -6. Their recent form reflects ongoing struggles, with only one win in their last five matches, indicating that they are yet to find their rhythm this season. The model suggests a win probability of 70% for Kashima, with a projected score of 3-1. A key market percentage indicates that the odds are heavily in favour of Kashima winning this matchup. However, a potential caveat is Urawa's ability to exploit any defensive lapses from Kashima, which could lead to an unexpected outcome. For further details on how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.2% probability.
Kashima have been the stronger side, winning 73% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.2% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Kashima clean sheets, in line with their 57% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Kashima are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Kashima vs Urawa| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.80 | 3.65 | 4.10 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 2.00 | |
| 1.79 | 3.70 | 4.10 | 1.74 | 2.05 | 1.65 | 2.08 | |
| 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.73 | 2.10 | |
| 1.84 | 3.92 | 4.20 | 1.77 | 2.13 | — | — | |
| 1.78 | 3.32 | 3.79 | 1.86 | 1.98 | — | — | |
| 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.90 | — | — | 1.65 | 2.15 | |
| 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.33 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 1.83 | 3.79 | 4.20 | 1.76 | 2.08 | 1.65 | 2.11 | |
| 1.81 | 3.45 | 4.00 | 1.87 | 1.80 | 1.76 | 1.91 | |
Betano | 1.78 | 3.60 | 4.30 | 1.78 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 2.05 |
Superbet | 1.80 | 3.55 | 4.30 | 1.76 | 2.00 | 1.69 | 2.05 |
BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.20 | 1.69 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Kashima leads 3-0)In the last 10 matches between Kashima and Urawa, Kashima has won 3 times, there have been 7 draws, and Urawa has yet to secure a victory. The scorelines indicate a tightly contested rivalry, with many matches ending in draws, including four scoreless games. Kashima's wins have been narrow, with only one match decided by more than a single goal. Urawa's inability to win in this stretch highlights their struggles in these encounters, as they have not triumphed against Kashima in over two years.
J1 League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Vissel Kobe | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | WWWLD |
| 3 | Kashima | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 | LLWWW |
| 4 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 | LLWWW |
| 5 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 11 | LWDDW |
| 6 |  FC Tokyo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 11 | WDWWD |
| 12 | Urawa | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 9 | WWWLL |
| 18 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 | LDLLL |
| 19 |  Tokyo Verdy | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 20 |  JEF United Chiba | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 3 | WLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2027 SeasonKashima have won 15 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat Kashima 3-0 and beat Kashima 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 22W 5D 3L from the last 30 games (73% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Urawa have won 6 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include beat Urawa 2-3 and lost to Machida Zelvia 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 6D 11L from the last 32 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedKashima4-4-2Confirmed
Urawa4-1-4-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersKashima
No reported absences
Urawa
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Kashima have averaged 3.7 corners per match at home; Urawa 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Kashima have generated 1.62 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 73% of them. They put 4.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Kashima player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
