Newells Old Boys vs Banfield Prediction, Tips & Odds
Newells Old Boys vs Banfield
Match Preview
The model favours Banfield to win this match against Newells Old Boys, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Banfield currently sits in 12th place in the Liga Profesional standings, having secured 18 points from 16 matches. Their season has been marked by a mixed bag of results, but they have shown some improvement recently, with two wins in their last five matches. Banfield's goal difference of -2 suggests they are more competitive than their opponents, and they have managed to score 17 goals while conceding 19, highlighting a relatively stable attack and defense. In contrast, Newells Old Boys are struggling in 14th place with only 15 points from their 16 games. Their form has been inconsistent, with just one win in their last five matches, alongside two draws and two losses. The team's goal-scoring issues are evident, with only 15 goals scored and 27 conceded, resulting in a goal difference of -12. This lack of offensive output puts them at a disadvantage as they face a Banfield side that has shown more resilience in recent fixtures. The model indicates a win probability of 45% for Banfield, with a projected score of 2-1. While Banfield appears to have the upper hand, a poor performance or an unexpected surge from Newells Old Boys could shift the outcome. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Newells Old Boys have kept a clean sheet in 17% of matches. Banfield average 1.1 goals per game.
Newells Old Boys manage games at home, conceding just 1.52 goals per match. Banfield score 1.08 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.7% probability.
Newells Old Boys have been the stronger side, winning 22% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.7% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Newells Old Boys clean sheets, in line with their 17% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Newells Old Boys are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Newells Old Boys vs Banfield| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.22 | 3.10 | 3.35 | 2.38 | 1.57 | 2.00 | 1.73 | |
| 2.21 | 3.08 | 3.40 | 2.27 | 1.51 | 1.97 | 1.73 | |
| 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.38 | 1.57 | 2.00 | 1.80 | |
| 2.27 | 3.18 | 3.60 | 2.45 | 1.60 | — | — | |
| 2.23 | 2.93 | 3.13 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.30 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.75 | |
| 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.75 | 2.40 | 1.53 | 2.00 | 1.75 | |
| 2.25 | 3.14 | 3.46 | 2.38 | 1.58 | 1.97 | 1.75 | |
| 2.28 | 3.05 | 3.35 | 2.35 | 1.56 | 1.95 | 1.77 | |
| 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 1.57 | 1.91 | 1.83 | |
Betano | 2.27 | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.42 | 1.60 | 1.95 | 1.80 |
Superbet | 2.27 | 3.05 | 3.50 | 2.42 | 1.57 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.13 | 3.50 | 2.25 | 1.55 | 2.00 | 1.73 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Banfield leads 4-3)In the last 10 matches between Newells Old Boys and Banfield, Banfield has won 4 times, Newells Old Boys has won 3 times, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines suggest a tendency for narrow victories, with 5 matches decided by a single goal and 3 matches ending in draws, indicating competitive encounters. Notably, Banfield has recorded two convincing 3-0 wins, highlighting their ability to dominate at times. Newells Old Boys last secured a win against Banfield in February 2023, which adds to the competitive nature of this rivalry.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | LWLWD |
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | WLLWL |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | DDWDL |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WLLLL |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | DDWWW |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 | WLDWL |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | LLDLW |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | LWLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonNewells Old Boys have won 3 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Deportivo Riestra 2-0 and drew with Boca Juniors 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 7D 11L from the last 23 games (22% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Banfield have won 2 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include beat Banfield 0-1 and drew with Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 6D 10L from the last 24 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersNewells Old Boys
No reported absences
Banfield
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
F. Viola has averaged 1.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Newells Old Boys have averaged 4.3 corners per match at home; Banfield 3.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Newells Old Boys have generated 0.52 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 22% of them. They put 3.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Newells Old Boys player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
