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Cambuur vs Feyenoord Prediction, Tips & Odds

Cambuur vs Feyenoord

EredivisieRegular Season - 3
Cambuur
#18 · Eredivisie
LLLLW
VS
Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
Referee: D. Makkelie
Feyenoord
#6 · Eredivisie
DWWWW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.45
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.40 (implied 71.2%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 73.7% probability (an expert ratio of 1.36). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (73.7% vs 71.2%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Feyenoord to win this match against Cambuur, predicting a scoreline of 2-0. Feyenoord currently sits in 8th place in the Eredivisie standings after one match, where they secured a victory with a strong defensive showing, not conceding any goals. Their recent form is impressive, having won their last five matches, indicating a high level of confidence and consistency as they begin the season. On the other hand, Cambuur finds themselves at the bottom of the table in 18th place, having lost their opening match 0-4. Their recent form shows two wins but three losses in their last five matches, raising concerns about their ability to compete effectively in the league this season. The team's struggle to find the back of the net, scoring no goals thus far, is a significant hurdle they must overcome. The model indicates a win probability of 70% for Feyenoord, with the projected score being 2-0. A key market percentage to note is that Feyenoord is favoured to win by a margin of at least one goal in this match. However, if Cambuur can improve their attacking play and find their scoring touch, they could pose a challenge. The full method, which incorporates expected goals and actual results throughout the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Cambuur Win16%9.06
Draw16%5.65
Feyenoord Win68%1.27
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7357.6%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.4066.3%

Combined goal output is high (3.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Cambuur 0-2 Feyenoord
7.4213.6%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.6% probability.

Asian Handicap
Feyenoord -0.0
1.0562%

Feyenoord have been the stronger side, winning 60% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
0-2
7.42
13.6%
1-2
8.14
12.4%
0-3
8.42
11.9%
0-1
9.18
11.0%
1-3
9.39
10.8%
1-1
10.58
9.5%

Our model projects a 0-2 Feyenoord win as the most likely scoreline at 13.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Cambuur
-0.0
6.50
Feyenoord
+0.0
1.05
Cambuur
-0.5
7.20
Feyenoord
+0.5
1.26

Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Feyenoord are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Cambuur vs Feyenoord
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
8.705.601.291.422.801.732.00
Marathonbet
8.905.601.281.372.681.711.99
Betfair
9.505.501.251.402.881.732.10
Pinnacle
8.345.801.321.422.89
SBO
7.245.221.26
William Hill
9.005.001.221.752.00
Bet365
10.005.501.281.402.881.752.00
1xBet
9.305.871.311.372.681.712.02
Unibet
10.006.101.241.382.951.731.98
888Sport
9.005.001.221.402.801.752.00
Betano
9.756.201.321.452.871.752.00
Superbet
8.606.001.291.442.821.771.97
BetVictor
9.506.001.251.402.801.702.00

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
94.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
84.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
66.3%
Over 3.5 Goals
46.1%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XCambuur or Draw
32%3.51
12Cambuur or Feyenoord
84%1.12
X2Draw or Feyenoord
84%1.06

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Feyenoord leads 10-0)
0 Cambuur0 Draw10 Feyenoord
Jul 25
Cambuur
1-4
Feyenoord
Friendlies Clubs
Apr 23
Cambuur
0-3
Feyenoord
Eredivisie
Nov 22
Feyenoord
1-0
Cambuur
Eredivisie
Feb 22
Feyenoord
3-1
Cambuur
Eredivisie
Oct 21
Cambuur
2-3
Feyenoord
Eredivisie
Dec 19
Cambuur
1-2
Feyenoord
KNVB Beker
Mar 16
Feyenoord
3-1
Cambuur
Eredivisie
Aug 15
Cambuur
0-2
Feyenoord
Eredivisie
Feb 15
Feyenoord
2-1
Cambuur
Eredivisie
Oct 14
Cambuur
0-1
Feyenoord
Eredivisie

In the last 10 matches between Cambuur and Feyenoord, Feyenoord has won all 10 encounters, indicating a complete dominance in this fixture. The scorelines reflect a mix of narrow and more decisive victories, with Feyenoord winning by three goals or more on three occasions, while Cambuur has not managed to secure a single point. The closest matches ended with a 2-3 and a 1-2 score, but overall, the trend shows a consistent upper hand for Feyenoord. Cambuur's last win against Feyenoord was not recorded in this sample, further emphasizing Feyenoord's strong historical performance.

Eredivisie Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
AZ Alkmaar
33008179
WWW
2
Groningen
22006246
WW
3
GO Ahead Eagles
21106334
DW
4
Ajax
21104224
DW
5
PSV Eindhoven
21104314
WD
6
Feyenoord
21103214
DW
16
ADO Den Haag
200216-50
LL
17
Willem II
200228-60
LL
18
Cambuur
200217-60
LL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
CambuurHome
0W0D1L
1 playedGF 0 · GA 40.00 pts/game
FeyenoordAway
1W0D0L
1 playedGF 1 · GA 03.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
CambuurFeyenoord
1.43Goals p.g.1.96
2.21Goals conceded p.g.1.16
7%Clean sheets28%
29%Win rate60%
3.64Avg goals in match3.12
1.46xG per game2.24
0.16xGA per game0.42
60%Possession %51%
3.0Shots on target / game5.8
7.0Corners per game6.9
Cambuur
Recent Form

Cambuur have won 3 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Cambuur 0-4 and lost to Cambuur 1-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 4W 2D 8L from the last 14 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: CambuurAll competitions
15 Aug
Fortuna Sittard
3-1
Cambuur
Eredivisie
07 Aug
Cambuur
0-4
Excelsior
Eredivisie
01 Aug
Bologna
3-1
Cambuur
Friendlies Clubs
28 Jul
Cambuur
1-2
Volos NFC
Friendlies Clubs
24 Jul
Cambuur
1-0
Utrecht
Friendlies Clubs
10 Jul
Cambuur
2-1
Roda
Friendlies Clubs
4
Win
29%
2
Draw
14%
8
Lost
57%
Feyenoord
Recent Form

Feyenoord have won 5 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat Sparta Rotterdam 0-1 and beat Dordrecht 0-6.

Overall, the wider run reads 15W 6D 4L from the last 25 games (60% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: FeyenoordAll competitions
16 Aug
Feyenoord
2-2
GO Ahead Eagles
Eredivisie
09 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
0-1
Feyenoord
Eredivisie
02 Aug
Feyenoord
2-1
Atalanta
Friendlies Clubs
26 Jul
Feyenoord
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
Friendlies Clubs
17 Jul
Feyenoord
3-1
Charleroi
Friendlies Clubs
11 Jul
Feyenoord
3-1
Club Brugge KV
Friendlies Clubs
15
Win
60%
6
Draw
24%
4
Lost
16%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

7 players

Cambuur1

D. Visser
Missing FixtureKnee Injury

Feyenoord6

B. Nieuwkoop
Missing FixtureInjury
G. Read
QuestionableInjury
G. Smal
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
J. Bos
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
J. Moder
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
T. Beelen
Missing FixtureBroken Leg

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Feyenoord Win1.27 (68.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.40 (66.3%)
Both Teams Score1.73 (57.6%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.82 (33.7%)
BTTS No2.01 (42.4%)
Speculative
Cambuur Win9.06 (15.6%)
Draw5.65 (16.1%)

Yellow Card Prediction

D. Makkelie has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by D. Makkelie to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Cambuur have averaged 7.0 corners per match at home; Feyenoord 6.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 8.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Feyenoord have generated 2.24 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 60% of them. They put 5.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Feyenoord player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.