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GO Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag Prediction, Tips & Odds

GO Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag

EredivisieRegular Season - 3
GO Ahead Eagles
#3 · Eredivisie
DWWWL
VS
De Adelaarshorst, Deventer (10,400)
Referee: S. van der Eijk
ADO Den Haag
#16 · Eredivisie
LLDWW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.52 (implied 65.7%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 68.2% probability (an expert ratio of 1.47). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (68.2% vs 65.7%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours GO Ahead Eagles to win against ADO Den Haag, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Currently sitting in second place in the Eredivisie, GO Ahead Eagles have made a strong start to the season with a victory in their opening match, scoring four goals while conceding just one. Their positive goal difference of three highlights their attacking prowess and defensive solidity, making them a formidable opponent. In contrast, ADO Den Haag has struggled at the beginning of this season, positioned at 16th place after one match. They have yet to secure a win and failed to score in their opening game, conceding two goals. This lack of offensive output is concerning, especially given their recent form that shows only three wins in their last five matches, indicating inconsistency. According to the model, GO Ahead Eagles have a strong win probability, reflecting their early-season form and favorable standing. However, a potential caveat is that if ADO Den Haag can improve their attacking capabilities and capitalize on any defensive lapses from the Eagles, they could pose a threat. The full method, which utilizes expected goals and actual results, is outlined in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, crafted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
GO Ahead Eagles Win56%1.73
Draw21%3.93
ADO Den Haag Win23%4.31
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.5362.3%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.5262.7%

Combined goal output is high (4.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
GO Ahead Eagles 1-1 ADO Den Haag
7.4813.4%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.4% probability.

Asian Handicap
GO Ahead Eagles -1.5
2.8836%

GO Ahead Eagles have been the stronger side, winning 35% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
7.48
13.4%
2-1
7.69
13.1%
1-0
9.21
10.9%
2-0
9.60
10.5%
3-1
11.48
8.8%
2-2
11.57
8.8%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
GO Ahead Eagles
-0.0
1.30
ADO Den Haag
+0.0
3.26
GO Ahead Eagles
-0.5
1.67
ADO Den Haag
+0.5
3.90
GO Ahead Eagles
-1.5
2.88
ADO Den Haag
+1.5
8.50

Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. GO Ahead Eagles are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

GO Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.713.954.331.552.401.532.35
Marathonbet
1.713.944.301.482.341.512.35
Betfair
1.704.004.331.502.551.502.55
Pinnacle
1.754.114.391.532.58
SBO
1.723.583.76
William Hill
1.753.754.001.552.30
Bet365
1.733.804.751.532.401.532.38
1xBet
1.764.054.421.482.341.512.39
Unibet
1.713.904.351.552.381.542.30
888Sport
1.753.754.001.502.401.532.30
Betano
1.724.154.901.552.521.532.40
Superbet
1.764.004.351.572.421.552.35
BetVictor
1.704.104.201.512.341.502.40

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
93.7%
Over 1.5 Goals
81.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
62.7%
Over 3.5 Goals
40.6%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XGO Ahead Eagles or Draw
77%1.20
12GO Ahead Eagles or ADO Den Haag
79%1.23
X2Draw or ADO Den Haag
44%2.08

Head to Head

Last 7 Meetings (evenly matched 3-3)
3 GO Ahead Eagles1 Draw3 ADO Den Haag
Feb 23
ADO Den Haag
1-0
GO Ahead Eagles
KNVB Beker
Feb 17
GO Ahead Eagles
3-1
ADO Den Haag
Eredivisie
Aug 16
ADO Den Haag
3-0
GO Ahead Eagles
Eredivisie
Jan 15
GO Ahead Eagles
1-0
ADO Den Haag
Eredivisie
Sept 14
ADO Den Haag
1-1
GO Ahead Eagles
Eredivisie
Feb 14
ADO Den Haag
3-2
GO Ahead Eagles
Eredivisie
Aug 13
GO Ahead Eagles
2-1
ADO Den Haag
Eredivisie

The head-to-head record between GO Ahead Eagles and ADO Den Haag stands at 3 wins for each team and 1 draw over the last 7 matches. This balance indicates a competitive rivalry, with both teams experiencing periods of success. The scorelines reveal a mix of narrow and decisive outcomes, with three matches decided by a single goal and two featuring margins of two or more goals. Notably, the last victory for GO Ahead Eagles came in 2017, while ADO Den Haag's last win was in 2023, suggesting a more recent edge for ADO Den Haag in this matchup.

Eredivisie Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
AZ Alkmaar
33008179
WWW
2
Groningen
22006246
WW
3
GO Ahead Eagles
21106334
DW
4
Ajax
21104224
DW
5
PSV Eindhoven
21104314
WD
6
Feyenoord
21103214
DW
16
ADO Den Haag
200216-50
LL
17
Willem II
200228-60
LL
18
Cambuur
200217-60
LL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
GO Ahead EaglesHome
1W0D0L
1 playedGF 4 · GA 13.00 pts/game
ADO Den HaagAway
0W0D1L
1 playedGF 0 · GA 20.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
GO Ahead EaglesADO Den Haag
1.69Goals p.g.2.46
1.35Goals conceded p.g.1.15
35%Clean sheets31%
35%Win rate69%
3.04Avg goals in match3.62
0.84xG per game2.14
0.75xGA per game0.03
40%Possession %57%
2.0Shots on target / game6.0
4.7Corners per game7.2
GO Ahead Eagles
Recent Form

GO Ahead Eagles have won 7 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat GO Ahead Eagles 4-1 and beat GO Ahead Eagles 4-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 9W 7D 10L from the last 26 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: GO Ahead EaglesAll competitions
16 Aug
Feyenoord
2-2
GO Ahead Eagles
Eredivisie
08 Aug
GO Ahead Eagles
4-1
Willem II
Eredivisie
02 Aug
Luton
0-1
GO Ahead Eagles
Friendlies Clubs
25 Jul
GO Ahead Eagles
4-0
OFI
Friendlies Clubs
18 Jul
Lommel United
2-1
GO Ahead Eagles
Friendlies Clubs
11 Jul
GO Ahead Eagles
0-3
Apollon Limassol
Friendlies Clubs
9
Win
35%
7
Draw
27%
10
Lost
38%
ADO Den Haag
Recent Form

ADO Den Haag have won 5 of their last 7 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include lost to AZ Alkmaar 2-0 and beat Lommel United 0-4.

Overall, the wider run reads 9W 1D 3L from the last 13 games (69% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: ADO Den HaagAll competitions
16 Aug
ADO Den Haag
1-4
Groningen
Eredivisie
08 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
2-0
ADO Den Haag
Eredivisie
31 Jul
ADO Den Haag
0-0
Asteras Tripolis
Friendlies Clubs
24 Jul
Lommel United
0-4
ADO Den Haag
Friendlies Clubs
18 Jul
KV Mechelen
2-3
ADO Den Haag
Friendlies Clubs
04 Jul
Laakkwartier
1-5
ADO Den Haag
Friendlies Clubs
9
Win
69%
1
Draw
8%
3
Lost
23%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

6 players

GO Ahead Eagles3

G. Nauber
Missing FixtureBroken Leg
P. Saathof
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
R. Weijenberg
Missing FixtureKnee Injury

ADO Den Haag3

C. Peupion
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
D. Barany
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
J. Hawkins
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
GO Ahead Eagles Win1.73 (56.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.52 (62.7%)
Both Teams Score1.53 (62.3%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.42 (37.3%)
BTTS No2.37 (37.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.93 (20.7%)
ADO Den Haag Win4.31 (23.2%)

Yellow Card Prediction

S. van der Eijk has averaged 4.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.

Corner Prediction

GO Ahead Eagles have averaged 4.7 corners per match at home; ADO Den Haag 7.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

GO Ahead Eagles have generated 0.84 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 35% of them. They put 2.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. GO Ahead Eagles player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.