Osasuna vs Levante Prediction, Tips & Odds
Osasuna vs Levante
Match Preview
The model favours Osasuna to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Levante. Osasuna enters the season with a strong recent form, having secured three wins in their last five matches. This positions them well as they aim to build momentum early in the campaign. Their performance last season will be crucial as they look to replicate or improve upon their success, and given their current form, they may have the edge over Levante. Levante, on the other hand, has also shown promise with a similar record of three wins in their last five matches. However, they will need to translate that form into their opening fixture to compete effectively against a strong Osasuna side. While they sit in a respectable 8th position in the standings, their ability to start the season well will be vital for their aspirations. The model indicates a win probability favouring Osasuna, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage to note is the likelihood of Osasuna winning based on their current form. A potential caveat is that both teams are entering the season fresh, and early games can sometimes produce unexpected results. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis has been conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Osasuna manage games at home, conceding just 1.42 goals per match. Levante score 1.33 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.8% probability.
Osasuna have been the stronger side, winning 35% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Osasuna win as the most likely scoreline at 15.8% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Osasuna clean sheets, in line with their 12% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Osasuna are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Osasuna vs Levante| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.81 | 3.55 | 4.30 | 1.95 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.91 | |
| 1.83 | 3.68 | 4.70 | 2.01 | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
| 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.60 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.87 | |
| 1.84 | 3.66 | 4.56 | 2.07 | 1.83 | — | — | |
| 1.77 | 3.24 | 3.97 | 2.07 | 1.79 | — | — | |
| 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.33 | — | — | 1.83 | 1.95 | |
| 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.50 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.91 | 1.91 | |
| 1.86 | 3.74 | 4.77 | 2.07 | 1.88 | 1.85 | 1.87 | |
| 1.80 | 3.65 | 4.35 | 1.96 | 1.83 | 1.82 | 1.90 | |
| 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.33 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.83 | 1.95 | |
Betano | 1.85 | 3.65 | 4.70 | 2.02 | 1.83 | 1.85 | 1.90 |
Superbet | 1.83 | 3.65 | 4.50 | 2.02 | 1.80 | 1.90 | 1.87 |
BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.50 | 1.94 | 1.74 | 1.85 | 1.83 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Osasuna leads 5-3)In the last 10 matches between Osasuna and Levante, Osasuna has won 5 times, Levante has won 3 times, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches being closely contested; however, Osasuna has managed to secure a larger share of victories. Notably, the matches feature a mix of narrow wins, with three matches ending in a score of 2-0 or 3-1, and a couple of draws. Levante's last win against Osasuna occurred in September 2020, suggesting a shift in momentum favoring Osasuna in recent encounters.
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sevilla | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  Alaves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | DW |
| 3 |  Espanyol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | LW |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15 | Osasuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 18 |  Malaga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 19 | Levante | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 20 |  Getafe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonOsasuna have won 5 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Al Ain 0-2 and beat Racing Santander 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 6D 11L from the last 26 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Levante have won 2 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include beat Levante 1-3 and lost to Villarreal 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 5D 10L from the last 27 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
2 playersOsasuna1
Levante1
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Osasuna average 1.4 goals per match at home; Levante 1.3 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Osasuna have generated 1.51 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 35% of them. They put 6.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Osasuna player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
