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Plateau United vs Shooting Stars Prediction, Tips & Odds

Plateau United vs Shooting Stars

NPFLRegular Season - 4
Plateau United
#11 · NPFL
DWLLW
VS
Rwang Pam Stadium, Jos
Shooting Stars
#14 · NPFL
LWWDL
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.53
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.51 (implied 66.1%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 68.6% probability (an expert ratio of 1.46). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (68.6% vs 66.1%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Shooting Stars to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Plateau United. Shooting Stars currently sit in 7th place with a perfect record from their single match this season, scoring two goals while conceding one. Their recent form has been strong, with three wins in their last five matches, indicating a solid start to the campaign. Plateau United, on the other hand, is positioned 11th and has played two matches, securing one win and one loss. With a goal difference of -1, they have struggled to convert their chances, scoring just one goal so far. Their recent form has been mixed, with three wins and two losses in their last five matches, suggesting they are still finding their rhythm this season. The model gives Shooting Stars a win probability of approximately 60%, reflecting their strong start and form. However, a potential caveat is that Plateau United could exploit any defensive lapses from Shooting Stars, particularly given their recent inconsistent performances. For a detailed understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Plateau United Win56%1.52
Draw23%3.39
Shooting Stars Win21%6.40
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.4958.3%

Plateau United have kept a clean sheet in 32% of matches. Shooting Stars average 1.3 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.5160.4%

Plateau United manage games at home, conceding just 0.88 goals per match. Shooting Stars score 1.26 on the road.

Correct Score
Plateau United 1-0 Shooting Stars
3.5028.6%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 28.6% probability.

Asian Handicap
Plateau United -0.0
1.1150%

Plateau United have been the stronger side, winning 48% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-0
3.50
28.6%
2-0
5.50
18.2%
0-0
6.00
16.7%
2-1
6.00
16.7%
1-1
7.00
14.3%
3-0
8.50
11.8%

Our model projects a 1-0 Plateau United win as the most likely scoreline at 28.6% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Plateau United clean sheets, in line with their 32% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Plateau United
-0.0
1.11
Shooting Stars
+0.0
4.90

Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Plateau United are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Plateau United vs Shooting Stars
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
1.493.346.602.331.512.391.47
Betfair
1.473.606.502.401.50
Bet365
1.573.255.502.401.53
1xBet
1.503.347.002.331.512.391.49
Betano
1.573.406.402.251.502.271.50

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
84.4%
Over 1.5 Goals
63.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
39.6%
Over 3.5 Goals
21.8%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XPlateau United or Draw
79%1.07
12Plateau United or Shooting Stars
77%1.24
X2Draw or Shooting Stars
44%2.27

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Shooting Stars leads 4-2)
2 Plateau United4 Draw4 Shooting Stars
22 Feb
Plateau United
4-1
Shooting Stars
NPFL
Oct 25
Shooting Stars
1-0
Plateau United
NPFL
Feb 25
Plateau United
1-1
Shooting Stars
NPFL
Sept 24
Shooting Stars
1-1
Plateau United
NPFL
Feb 24
Plateau United
0-0
Shooting Stars
NPFL
Sept 23
Shooting Stars
2-1
Plateau United
NPFL
Mar 23
Shooting Stars
3-1
Plateau United
NPFL
Jan 23
Plateau United
3-3
Shooting Stars
NPFL
Jun 22
Shooting Stars
2-1
Plateau United
NPFL
Feb 22
Plateau United
3-1
Shooting Stars
NPFL

In the last 10 matches between Plateau United and Shooting Stars, the record stands at 2 wins for Plateau United, 4 draws, and 4 wins for Shooting Stars. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches ending in draws and a mix of narrow and more decisive victories. Notably, Plateau United's wins include a significant 4-1 victory, while Shooting Stars has also recorded a 3-1 win. The frequency of draws suggests that many encounters have been closely contested, with the last win for Plateau United occurring in February 2022, indicating a longer stretch since they last emerged victorious in this matchup.

NPFL Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Doma United
33005059
WWW
2
Barau FC
42206248
DWDW
3
Rivers United
22004046
WW
4
Ranchers Bees
42028716
WLWL
5
Bendel Insurance
42027616
LWLW
6
Ikorodu City
31205325
DDW
11
Plateau United
311123-14
DWL
14
Shooting Stars
11002113
W
18
Enyimba
200214-30
LL
19
Warri Wolves
200214-30
LL
20
Inter Lagos
300316-50
LLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Plateau UnitedHome
1W0D0L
1 playedGF 1 · GA 03.00 pts/game
Shooting StarsAway
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0 pts/game

Key Statistics

2027 Season
Plateau UnitedShooting Stars
1.2Goals p.g.1.26
0.88Goals conceded p.g.1.22
32%Clean sheets22%
48%Win rate52%
2.08Avg goals in match2.48
Plateau United
Recent Form

Plateau United have won 10 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat Plateau United 1-0 and beat Plateau United 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 5D 8L from the last 25 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Plateau UnitedAll competitions
14 Sept
Niger Tornadoes
1-1
Plateau United
NPFL
06 Sept
Plateau United
1-0
Kwara United
NPFL
30 Aug
Rivers United
2-0
Plateau United
NPFL
11 Jun
Nasarawa United
2-1
Plateau United
Federation Cup
06 Jun
Plateau United
2-1
Basira
Federation Cup
01 Jun
Kogi
0-1
Plateau United
Federation Cup
12
Win
48%
5
Draw
20%
8
Lost
32%
Shooting Stars
Recent Form

Shooting Stars have won 1 of their last 10 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Shooting Stars 2-0 and lost to Niger Tornadoes 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 2D 9L from the last 23 games (52% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Shooting StarsAll competitions
13 Sept
CS Sfaxien
2-0
Shooting Stars
CAF Confederation Cup
05 Sept
Shooting Stars
1-0
CS Sfaxien
CAF Confederation Cup
28 Aug
Shooting Stars
2-1
Inter Lagos
NPFL
01 Jun
Shooting Stars
1-1
Kada Warriors
Federation Cup
24 May
Niger Tornadoes
1-0
Shooting Stars
NPFL
10 May
Shooting Stars
1-0
Barau FC
NPFL
12
Win
52%
2
Draw
9%
9
Lost
39%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Plateau United

No reported absences

Shooting Stars

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Plateau United Win1.52 (55.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.51 (60.4%)
BTTS No1.49 (58.3%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals2.33 (39.6%)
Both Teams Score2.36 (41.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.39 (23.2%)
Shooting Stars Win6.40 (20.8%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Plateau United average 1.2 goals per match at home; Shooting Stars 1.3 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Plateau United have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 48% of their matches and averaging 1.2 goals per game. Plateau United player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.