Rosario Central vs Aldosivi Prediction, Tips & Odds
Rosario Central vs Aldosivi
Match Preview
The model favours Rosario Central to win against Aldosivi, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Rosario Central currently sits in 4th place in the Liga Profesional Argentina, having secured 28 points from 16 matches with a record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses. Despite a recent dip in form, with only one win in their last five matches, they have shown the ability to score, netting 20 goals this season. Their solid goal difference of +4 indicates a generally strong performance throughout the campaign. In contrast, Aldosivi has struggled significantly this season, positioned 14th with just 8 points from their 16 matches. Their record of no wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses highlights a lack of offensive production, as they have only scored 6 goals while conceding 19, resulting in a goal difference of -13. This poor form is reflected in their last five matches, where they have managed only one win, alongside three draws and a loss. The model indicates a win probability of 70% for Rosario Central, with a projected score of 2-0. However, a potential caveat is that Rosario Central's recent form has been inconsistent, which could lead to an unexpected outcome if they fail to capitalize on their chances. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Rosario Central have kept a clean sheet in 38% of matches. Aldosivi average 0.8 goals per game.
Rosario Central manage games at home, conceding just 0.86 goals per match. Aldosivi score 0.82 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 21.3% probability.
Rosario Central have been the stronger side, winning 52% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Rosario Central win as the most likely scoreline at 21.3% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Rosario Central clean sheets, in line with their 38% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Rosario Central are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Rosario Central vs Aldosivi| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.49 | 3.75 | 7.50 | 2.35 | 1.57 | 2.45 | 1.48 | |
| 1.50 | 3.78 | 7.10 | 2.33 | 1.58 | 2.40 | 1.49 | |
| 1.47 | 4.00 | 7.00 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.50 | 3.70 | 7.00 | 2.35 | 1.57 | 2.50 | 1.50 | |
| 1.53 | 3.85 | 7.23 | 2.35 | 1.59 | 2.40 | 1.51 | |
Betano | 1.55 | 3.75 | 7.30 | 2.42 | 1.60 | 2.42 | 1.52 |
BetVictor | 1.50 | 3.80 | 7.50 | 2.26 | 1.54 | 2.45 | 1.47 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Rosario Central leads 4-3)In the last 10 matches between Rosario Central and Aldosivi, Rosario Central has won 4 times, Aldosivi has won 3, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several closely contested matches; however, Rosario Central has recorded some significant victories, including a 5-1 win in November 2019. Notably, Aldosivi has not won against Rosario Central since April 2022, suggesting a slight edge for Rosario Central in recent encounters. Overall, while the record is relatively balanced, Rosario Central has had the upper hand in terms of larger winning margins.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | WLLWD |
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | WDLDW |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | DLLWW |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | LLLWW |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | WWLDD |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | WWWLW |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 28 | DLLWW |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | LLDDL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | LLWDW |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | DLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRosario Central have won 9 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Racing Club 0-0 and beat UCV 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 6D 8L from the last 29 games (52% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Aldosivi have won 1 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Barracas Central 1-0 and drew with Defensa Y Justicia 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 3W 9D 10L from the last 22 games (14% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRosario Central
No reported absences
Aldosivi
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Rosario Central have averaged 3.9 corners per match at home; Aldosivi 3.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Rosario Central have generated 1.61 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 52% of them. They put 4.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rosario Central player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
