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Shooting Stars vs Ranchers Bees Prediction, Tips & Odds

Shooting Stars vs Ranchers Bees

NPFLRegular Season - 9
Shooting Stars
#17 · NPFL
LDDLL
3 - 1
Lekan Salami Stadium, Ibadan
Ranchers Bees
#16 · NPFL
DLDLW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.53
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.50 (implied 66.9%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 69.4% probability (an expert ratio of 1.44). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (69.4% vs 66.9%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Shooting Stars to win against Ranchers Bees, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Shooting Stars currently sit in 17th place in the league, having played six matches this season, where they have secured two wins, one draw, and three losses. Their goal difference of -2, with seven goals scored and nine conceded, indicates a struggling defence but a moderate attacking output. Recent form shows they have managed one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches, which suggests some inconsistency. On the other hand, Ranchers Bees are positioned just above Shooting Stars in 16th place, having played one more match. Their record mirrors that of Shooting Stars with two wins, one draw, and four losses, but they have a slightly better goal difference of -1, scoring nine goals and conceding ten. Their recent form, also reflecting one win, one draw, and three losses, points to similar challenges in both attack and defence. The model gives Shooting Stars a win probability of around 50%, indicating a close contest, while Ranchers Bees have a 25% chance of victory. One key market percentage suggests a 55% likelihood for over 2.5 goals in the match. However, a caveat to consider is that both teams have shown vulnerability in defence, which could lead to an unexpected result. The full methodology of our predictions is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, created by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that assesses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Shooting Stars Win54%1.46
Draw23%3.40
Ranchers Bees Win23%6.84
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.4359.1%

Shooting Stars have kept a clean sheet in 27% of matches. Ranchers Bees average 1.1 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.5060.1%

Shooting Stars manage games at home, conceding just 1.27 goals per match. Ranchers Bees score 1.12 on the road.

Correct Score
Shooting Stars 1-0 Ranchers Bees
3.9725.4%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 25.4% probability.

Asian Handicap
Shooting Stars -0.0
1.1048%

Shooting Stars have been the stronger side, winning 43% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-0
3.97
25.4%
2-0
5.33
18.8%
0-0
6.53
15.4%
2-1
7.00
14.4%
1-1
7.17
14.0%
3-0
9.17
11.1%

Our model projects a 1-0 Shooting Stars win as the most likely scoreline at 25.4% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Shooting Stars clean sheets, in line with their 27% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Shooting Stars
-0.0
1.10
Ranchers Bees
+0.0
5.10

Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Shooting Stars are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Shooting Stars vs Ranchers Bees
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
William Hill
1.443.257.00——2.501.44
Bet365
1.503.406.252.401.53——
1xBet
1.453.547.282.461.462.601.42

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
87.1%
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
39.9%
Over 3.5 Goals
19.2%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XShooting Stars or Draw
77%1.05
12Shooting Stars or Ranchers Bees
77%1.23
X2Draw or Ranchers Bees
46%2.45

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Shooting Stars leads 1-0)
1 Shooting Stars0 Draw0 Ranchers Bees
16 Oct
Shooting Stars
3-1
Ranchers Bees
NPFL

In their only recorded meeting, Shooting Stars won against Ranchers Bees with a score of 3-1. This result indicates a clear victory for Shooting Stars, suggesting they had the upper hand in that match. The scoreline reflects a moderately comfortable win, with Ranchers Bees conceding three goals. As it stands, Ranchers Bees has not managed to secure a win in their past encounter against Shooting Stars, which may impact their confidence moving forward.

NPFL Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Enugu Rangers
8521149517
DWWLW
2
Rivers United
84401321116
DWDDW
3
Plateau United
8422138514
WLWDW
4
Barau FC
8341129313
DLDWD
5
Doma United
84131010013
LWLDL
6
Ikorodu City
8332107312
WLDWL
16
Ranchers Bees
8224910-18
DLDLW
17
Shooting Stars
8224711-48
LDDLL
18
Kun Khalifat FC
8224714-78
WLWLL
19
Enyimba
82151114-37
LWWDL
20
Inter Lagos
8125513-82
LDLDW

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Shooting StarsHome
2W2D0L
4 playedGF 4 · GA 12.00 pts/game
Ranchers BeesAway
0W0D4L
4 playedGF 3 · GA 90.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2027 Season
Shooting StarsRanchers Bees
1.13Goals p.g.1.12
1.27Goals conceded p.g.1.25
27%Clean sheets38%
43%Win rate25%
2.4Avg goals in match2.38
Shooting Stars
Recent Form

Shooting Stars have won 12 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Shooting Stars 0-0 and drew with Shooting Stars 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 13W 4D 13L from the last 30 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Shooting StarsAll competitions
11 Oct
Kun Khalifat FC
2-0
Shooting Stars
NPFL
07 Oct
Shooting Stars
0-0
Kano Pillars
NPFL
04 Oct
Shooting Stars
0-0
Nasarawa United
NPFL
30 Sept
Enyimba
4-2
Shooting Stars
NPFL
27 Sept
Warri Wolves
1-0
Shooting Stars
NPFL
23 Sept
Shooting Stars
2-0
Katsina United
NPFL
13
Win
43%
4
Draw
13%
13
Lost
43%
Ranchers Bees
Recent Form

Ranchers Bees have won 0 of their last 4 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Kwara United 2-1 and lost to Enugu Rangers 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 2W 2D 4L from the last 8 games (25% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Ranchers BeesAll competitions
10 Oct
Ranchers Bees
0-0
Niger Tornadoes
NPFL
04 Oct
Kwara United
2-1
Ranchers Bees
NPFL
28 Sept
Ranchers Bees
0-0
Rivers United
NPFL
23 Sept
Enugu Rangers
1-0
Ranchers Bees
NPFL
19 Sept
Ranchers Bees
2-1
Bendel Insurance
NPFL
13 Sept
Barau FC
3-1
Ranchers Bees
NPFL
2
Win
25%
2
Draw
25%
4
Lost
50%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Shooting Stars

No reported absences

Ranchers Bees

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.50 (60.1%)
BTTS No1.43 (59.1%)
Value Bets
Shooting Stars Win1.46 (54.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.43 (39.9%)
Both Teams Score2.55 (40.9%)
Speculative
Draw3.40 (22.9%)
Ranchers Bees Win6.84 (23%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Shooting Stars average 1.1 goals per match at home; Ranchers Bees 1.1 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Shooting Stars have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 43% of their matches and averaging 1.1 goals per game. Shooting Stars player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.