Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Hazm Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Hazm
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win against Al-Hazm, projecting a scoreline of 3-1. Al-Hilal currently sits at the top of the Pro League standings with an impressive record of six wins and just one loss from their first seven matches. They have scored 23 goals while conceding only 5, resulting in a remarkable goal difference of +18. Their recent form shows four wins in their last five matches, highlighting their offensive strength and solid defence. On the other hand, Al-Hazm is positioned 10th in the league, with a record of two wins, two draws, and three losses. They have struggled to find the net, with only 7 goals scored so far this season. Their recent form has been inconsistent, managing just one win in their last five matches, which reflects their difficulties in both attacking and defending. According to the model's output, Al-Hilal has a high probability of winning this match. However, Al-Hazm's potential to create an upset should not be overlooked, especially if they can tighten their defence and convert more chances. For full details on how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team explains our in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC have kept a clean sheet in 49% of matches. Al-Hazm average 1.2 goals per game.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.9% probability.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC have been the stronger side, winning 71% of their matches.
Our model projects a 3-0 Al-Hilal Saudi FC win as the most likely scoreline at 15.9% probability. 5 of the top six outcomes feature Al-Hilal Saudi FC clean sheets, in line with their 49% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Al-Hilal Saudi FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Hazm| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.04 | 9.70 | 19.50 | 1.24 | 3.34 | 2.19 | 1.57 | |
| 1.05 | 14.00 | 26.00 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.05 | 15.53 | 18.87 | 1.24 | 3.71 | — | — | |
| 1.05 | 13.00 | 26.00 | — | — | 2.15 | 1.62 | |
| 1.08 | 10.00 | 21.00 | 1.28 | 3.60 | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
| 1.04 | 13.70 | 27.00 | 1.24 | 3.34 | 2.19 | 1.59 | |
Betano | 1.10 | 9.75 | 25.00 | 1.31 | 3.50 | 2.25 | 1.60 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al-Hilal Saudi FC leads 8-0)In the last 10 matches between Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Hazm, Al-Hilal has won 8 times, with 2 draws and no victories for Al-Hazm. The scorelines indicate a significant dominance by Al-Hilal, with several heavy wins including a 9-0 result and multiple matches ending with a three-goal margin. Al-Hazm has struggled to keep pace, failing to secure a win in this head-to-head history. The two draws represent the only instances where Al-Hazm managed to avoid defeat, highlighting the one-sided nature of this rivalry.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 22 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 21 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 17 | LWWWD |
| 5 |  NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 16 | DWWWL |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 10 | Al-Hazm | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 9 | LDLWD |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 | WLLLD |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 | LLLDL |
| 18 |  Abha | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 2 | LDLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Hilal Saudi FC have won 11 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3-2 and beat Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 25W 8D 2L from the last 35 games (71% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Al-Hazm have won 2 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Al-Ahli Jeddah 3-1 and drew with Al-Faisaly FC 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 7D 11L from the last 28 games (36% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Hilal Saudi FC
No reported absences
Al-Hazm
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Hilal Saudi FC have averaged 6.6 corners per match at home; Al-Hazm 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Hilal Saudi FC have generated 3.35 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 71% of them. They put 6.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Hilal Saudi FC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
