NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq Prediction, Tips & Odds
NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq
Match Preview
The model favours NEOM to win against Al-Ettifaq, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. NEOM currently sits in 5th place in the Pro League, having secured 15 points from their 7 matches with a strong goal difference of +7. Their attacking prowess is highlighted by 13 goals scored, which reflects a solid offensive strategy. Despite a recent dip in form with two losses in their last five matches, they have managed to secure three wins, indicating their ability to bounce back. In contrast, Al-Ettifaq is positioned 9th with 11 points from the same number of games. Their season has been marked by inconsistency, as they have only won three matches. The team has struggled defensively, conceding 11 goals, which has resulted in a goal difference of zero. Their recent form shows just one win in the last five matches, accompanied by two draws and two losses, suggesting difficulties in securing victories when it matters most. The model output indicates that NEOM has a higher win probability in this matchup. However, a potential caveat is NEOM's recent inconsistency, which could allow Al-Ettifaq to capitalize if they manage to find their rhythm. For a comprehensive understanding of how we reached this prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilizes an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.6% probability.
NEOM have been the stronger side, winning 47% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. NEOM are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.93 | 3.48 | 3.20 | 1.66 | 2.05 | 1.58 | 2.17 | |
| 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.30 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.38 | |
| 2.00 | 3.67 | 3.40 | 1.70 | 2.12 | — | — | |
| 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.20 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.20 | |
| 2.02 | 3.64 | 3.34 | 1.69 | 2.09 | 1.58 | 2.21 | |
Betano | 2.05 | 3.65 | 3.50 | 1.72 | 2.18 | 1.60 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between NEOM and Al-Ettifaq shows both teams have not secured a win, with 0 victories for either side and 2 draws. The scorelines from these matches indicate tightly contested fixtures, with both encounters ending in draws of 1-1 and 0-0. This suggests a pattern of low-scoring games and a lack of decisive outcomes between the two teams, with neither side managing to claim a victory in their last two meetings.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 21 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 17 | LWWWD |
| 5 | NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 16 | DWWWL |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 | DDDWL |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 3 | LLLDD |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 | LLLDL |
| 18 |  Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 | DLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonNEOM have won 8 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat NEOM 4-2 and beat NEOM 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 8D 9L from the last 32 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Al-Ettifaq have won 5 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat Abha 0-1 and beat Al-Fateh 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 7D 12L from the last 30 games (37% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersNEOM
No reported absences
Al-Ettifaq
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
NEOM have averaged 4.0 corners per match at home; Al-Ettifaq 5.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
NEOM have generated 1.45 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 47% of them. They put 4.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. NEOM player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
