Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Qadisiyah FC to win against Abha, with a projected scoreline of 3-1. Al-Qadisiyah FC currently sits in 4th place in the league standings, having played seven matches this season. Their form has been impressive, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches, contributing to a total of 16 points. They have scored 16 goals while conceding only 8, resulting in a positive goal difference of 8, which showcases their strong attacking capabilities and solid defence. In contrast, Abha is struggling at the bottom of the table in 18th place, with no wins to their name this season. They have managed just two draws and suffered five losses, resulting in a mere 2 points. Their goal-scoring woes are evident, having netted only 5 goals while conceding 13, leading to a goal difference of -8. This lack of form and scoring ability will make it challenging for them to compete against a well-performing Al-Qadisiyah FC side. The model indicates a high probability of victory for Al-Qadisiyah FC, with a projected score of 3-1 and a win probability significantly in their favour. However, the caveat lies in the unpredictable nature of football; if Abha can find a way to improve their performance or capitalize on any weaknesses, the result could shift. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team through an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Al-Qadisiyah FC have kept a clean sheet in 33% of matches. Abha average 1.0 goals per game.
Combined goal output is high (3.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.2% probability.
Al-Qadisiyah FC have been the stronger side, winning 70% of their matches.
Our model projects a 3-0 Al-Qadisiyah FC win as the most likely scoreline at 14.2% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Al-Qadisiyah FC clean sheets, in line with their 33% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Al-Qadisiyah FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.07 | 8.20 | 15.75 | 1.26 | 3.20 | 1.93 | 1.74 | |
| 1.12 | 8.00 | 16.00 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.13 | 8.48 | 14.64 | 1.29 | 3.33 | — | — | |
| 1.10 | 8.50 | 17.00 | — | — | 1.91 | 1.75 | |
| 1.08 | 10.70 | 20.00 | 1.26 | 3.20 | 1.93 | 1.76 | |
Betano | 1.16 | 7.90 | 15.50 | 1.34 | 3.30 | 1.98 | 1.78 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between Al-Qadisiyah FC and Abha shows that both teams have drawn in their last two encounters, with each match ending in a 1-1 and a 2-2 scoreline. This indicates a competitive rivalry, as neither team has secured a win in these fixtures. The matches have been relatively high-scoring, with four goals in the most recent meeting and three in the earlier one, suggesting that both teams can find the net. However, the absence of victories for either side in their last two matches points to a stalemate in their recent history.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 21 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 17 | LWWWD |
| 5 |  NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 16 | DWWWL |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 3 | LLLDD |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 | LLLDL |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 | DLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Qadisiyah FC have won 9 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Al-Qadisiyah FC 2-1 and beat Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 6D 3L from the last 30 games (70% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Abha have won 3 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Abha 0-0 and lost to Al-Nassr 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 4D 9L from the last 19 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Qadisiyah FC
No reported absences
Abha
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Qadisiyah FC have averaged 6.4 corners per match at home; Abha 2.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Qadisiyah FC have generated 2.93 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 70% of them. They put 6.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Qadisiyah FC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
