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Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Kholood Prediction, Tips & Odds

Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Kholood

Pro LeagueRegular Season - 9
Al-Faisaly FC
#15 ยท Pro League
LDDLD
VS
Al Kholood
#8 ยท Pro League
LLWDW

Match Preview

The model favours Al Kholood to win this match against Al-Faisaly FC, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Al Kholood currently sits in seventh place with 12 points from seven matches, showcasing a solid season with three wins, three draws, and just one loss. Their goal-scoring ability is highlighted by 12 goals scored, along with a respectable goal difference of +2, indicating their ability to both score and contain opposition attacks effectively. In contrast, Al-Faisaly FC finds themselves struggling at the bottom of the table in 16th place, having yet to secure a win this season. With three draws and four losses, they have managed only five goals while conceding 13, resulting in a goal difference of -8. Their recent form has been particularly concerning, with no wins in their last five matches, which includes three draws and two losses. According to the model, Al Kholood has a strong win probability, reflecting their superior position and form this season. However, one caveat is that Al-Faisaly FC could potentially capitalize on any defensive lapses from Al Kholood, given that they have shown resilience in their past matches. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, employing an in-house model that analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Head to Head

Last 4 Meetings (Al Kholood leads 2-1)
1 Al-Faisaly FC1 Draw2 Al Kholood
Mar 24
Al-Faisaly FC
0-3
Al Kholood
Division 1
Nov 23
Al Kholood
1-0
Al-Faisaly FC
Division 1
Mar 23
Al-Faisaly FC
1-1
Al Kholood
Division 1
Oct 22
Al Kholood
0-1
Al-Faisaly FC
Division 1

The head-to-head record between Al-Faisaly FC and Al Kholood stands at 1 win for Al-Faisaly FC, 1 draw, and 2 wins for Al Kholood over the last four matches. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with two matches ending in narrow results: one draw and one goal margins. However, Al Kholood has achieved two victories, including a notable 3-0 win, which suggests they have had the upper hand in recent encounters. Al-Faisaly FC's last victory came over a year ago, highlighting a potential struggle against this opponent.

Pro League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
87012671921
WWLWW
2
Al-Qadisiyah FC
86112181319
WDWWW
3
Al-Nassr
86111971219
WDWLW
4
Al-Ittihad FC
8521149517
LWWWD
5
NEOM
8512147716
DWWWL
6
Al-Ahli Jeddah
850320101015
WWLWL
8
Al Kholood
83321215-312
LLWDW
15
Al-Faisaly FC
7034513-83
LDDLD
16
Al-Fateh
8035415-113
LLLDD
17
Al Taawon
8035315-123
LLLDL
18
Abha
7025513-82
DLLLD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Al-Faisaly FCHome
0W2D2L
4 playedGF 2 ยท GA 60.50 pts/game
Al KholoodAway
0W3D1L
4 playedGF 4 ยท GA 60.75 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Al-Faisaly FCAl Kholood
1.72Goals p.g.1.13
1.17Goals conceded p.g.1.68
44%Clean sheets19%
50%Win rate26%
2.89Avg goals in match2.81
0.93xG per game1.55
0.22xGA per game-0.31
49%Possession %48%
2.6Shots on target / game4.2
2.1Corners per game5.1
Al-Faisaly FC
Recent Form

Al-Faisaly FC have won 4 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Al-Ittihad FC 1-3 and drew with Al-Hazm 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 9W 4D 5L from the last 18 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Al-Faisaly FCAll competitions
11 Sept
Al-Faisaly FC
1-3
Al-Ittihad FC
Pro League
08 Sept
Al-Ettifaq
0-0
Al-Faisaly FC
Pro League
05 Sept
Al-Faisaly FC
0-0
Al-Hazm
Pro League
30 Aug
Al-Qadisiyah FC
3-1
Al-Faisaly FC
Pro League
26 Aug
Al-Faisaly FC
1-1
Al-Fateh
Pro League
21 Aug
Al-Faisaly FC
0-2
NEOM
Pro League
9
Win
50%
4
Draw
22%
5
Lost
28%
Al Kholood
Recent Form

Al Kholood have won 4 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Al Riyadh 2-0 and drew with Al-Fayha 2-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 11D 12L from the last 31 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Al KholoodAll competitions
09 Oct
Al Kholood
0-5
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Pro League
13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2-0
Al Kholood
Pro League
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2-1
Al Shabab
Pro League
03 Sept
Al-Fayha
2-2
Al Kholood
Pro League
29 Aug
Al Kholood
3-1
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Pro League
26 Aug
Al Diriyah
1-1
Al Kholood
Pro League
8
Win
26%
11
Draw
35%
12
Lost
39%

Lineups

๐Ÿ“‹

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Al-Faisaly FC

No reported absences

Al Kholood

No reported absences

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.