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Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Fayha Prediction, Tips & Odds

Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Fayha

Pro LeagueRegular Season - 9
Al Khaleej Saihat
#14 · Pro League
DDDLL
VS
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Dammam (35,000)
Al-Fayha
#13 · Pro League
DDLDW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.82
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.78 (implied 56.3%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 58.8% probability (an expert ratio of 1.70). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (58.8% vs 56.3%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Al-Fayha to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 1-0 against Al Khaleej Saihat. Al-Fayha currently sits in 12th place in the league standings with 6 points from 7 matches, having secured 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 losses. Their goal difference of -4 indicates some defensive vulnerabilities, but they have managed to score 7 goals, which shows a slightly more productive attack compared to their opponents. Their recent form, with 1 win and 3 draws in the last five matches, suggests they are finding some rhythm and resilience. On the other hand, Al Khaleej Saihat is struggling at 13th place with just 5 points, having not won any matches yet this season (0 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses). They have only managed to score 3 goals while conceding 10, resulting in a goal difference of -7. Their recent form has been particularly concerning, with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last five matches, reflecting a lack of offensive capability and difficulties in securing victories. The model gives Al-Fayha a win probability of approximately 45% for this match. Despite the slight edge in form and standings, a key caveat is that Al-Fayha's defensive issues could allow Al Khaleej Saihat to capitalize if they can improve their attacking performance. The full prediction methodology is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that assesses fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Al Khaleej Saihat Win45%2.04
Draw23%3.34
Al-Fayha Win32%3.38
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7853.0%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.7751.0%

Al Khaleej Saihat manage games at home, conceding just 1.86 goals per match. Al-Fayha score 1.23 on the road.

Correct Score
Al Khaleej Saihat 1-1 Al-Fayha
6.2116.2%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.2% probability.

Asian Handicap
Al Khaleej Saihat -0.5
2.1039%

Al Khaleej Saihat have been the stronger side, winning 10% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.21
16.2%
1-0
6.76
14.8%
2-1
8.29
12.1%
0-0
8.91
11.3%
0-1
9.47
10.6%
2-0
9.56
10.5%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.2% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Al Khaleej Saihat clean sheets, in line with their 17% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Al Khaleej Saihat
-0.0
1.50
Al-Fayha
+0.0
2.45
Al Khaleej Saihat
-0.5
2.10
Al-Fayha
+0.5
3.35
Al Khaleej Saihat
-1.5
3.75
Al-Fayha
+1.5
7.50

Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Al Khaleej Saihat are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Fayha
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
1.993.253.241.941.741.771.89
Betfair
2.003.503.501.911.75——
Pinnacle
2.073.433.421.981.81——
William Hill
2.003.003.30——1.751.91
1xBet
2.083.403.381.981.771.771.92
Betano
2.123.453.452.051.801.821.93

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
89.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
70.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
27.2%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XAl Khaleej Saihat or Draw
68%1.28
12Al Khaleej Saihat or Al-Fayha
77%1.28
X2Draw or Al-Fayha
55%1.70

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Al-Fayha leads 5-3)
3 Al Khaleej Saihat2 Draw5 Al-Fayha
28 Jan
Al-Fayha
3-1
Al Khaleej Saihat
Pro League
Sept 25
Al Khaleej Saihat
3-0
Al-Fayha
Pro League
Feb 25
Al-Fayha
0-0
Al Khaleej Saihat
Pro League
Sept 24
Al Khaleej Saihat
0-0
Al-Fayha
Pro League
Dec 23
Al Khaleej Saihat
3-0
Al-Fayha
Pro League
Aug 23
Al-Fayha
3-1
Al Khaleej Saihat
Pro League
Apr 23
Al-Fayha
0-3
Al Khaleej Saihat
Pro League
Dec 22
Al-Fayha
3-1
Al Khaleej Saihat
King's Cup
Dec 22
Al Khaleej Saihat
1-2
Al-Fayha
Pro League
Apr 21
Al Khaleej Saihat
0-5
Al-Fayha
Division 1

In the last 10 matches between Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Fayha, Al Khaleej Saihat has won 3 times, drawn 2, and Al-Fayha has won 5 times. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches being closely contested; however, Al-Fayha has secured four wins by a margin of two goals or more, suggesting a tendency for dominant performances. Notably, there have been two scoreless draws, indicating the potential for low-scoring encounters. The most recent win for Al Khaleej Saihat was in December 2023, while Al-Fayha's last win was in January 2026, highlighting a relatively even distribution of results in recent years.

Pro League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
87012671921
WWLWW
2
Al-Qadisiyah FC
86112181319
WDWWW
3
Al-Nassr
86111971219
WDWLW
4
Al-Ittihad FC
8521149517
LWWWD
5
NEOM
8512147716
DWWWL
6
Al-Ahli Jeddah
850320101015
WWLWL
13
Al-Fayha
8143812-47
DDLDW
14
Al Khaleej Saihat
8062411-76
DDDLL
16
Al-Fateh
8035415-113
LLLDD
17
Al Taawon
8035315-123
LLLDL
18
Abha
7025513-82
DLLLD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Al Khaleej SaihatHome
0W3D1L
4 playedGF 2 · GA 60.75 pts/game
Al-FayhaAway
0W2D2L
4 playedGF 2 · GA 40.50 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Al Khaleej SaihatAl-Fayha
0.83Goals p.g.1.23
1.86Goals conceded p.g.1.55
17%Clean sheets26%
10%Win rate29%
2.69Avg goals in match2.77
1.08xG per game0.75
0.12xGA per game-0.27
48%Possession %46%
3.1Shots on target / game3.6
3.9Corners per game3.3
Al Khaleej Saihat
Recent Form

Al Khaleej Saihat have won 2 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Al Khaleej Saihat 1-1 and drew with Al Khaleej Saihat 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 3W 11D 15L from the last 29 games (10% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Al Khaleej SaihatAll competitions
10 Oct
Al-Ettifaq
1-1
Al Khaleej Saihat
Pro League
12 Sept
Al Khaleej Saihat
1-1
Al-Nassr
Pro League
07 Sept
Al Khaleej Saihat
0-0
Al Riyadh
Pro League
03 Sept
NEOM
3-0
Al Khaleej Saihat
Pro League
28 Aug
Al Khaleej Saihat
1-5
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Pro League
25 Aug
Abha
1-1
Al Khaleej Saihat
Pro League
3
Win
10%
11
Draw
38%
15
Lost
52%
Al-Fayha
Recent Form

Al-Fayha have won 3 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Al Shabab 0-0 and lost to Al-Ittihad FC 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 9W 8D 14L from the last 31 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Al-FayhaAll competitions
11 Oct
Al-Fayha
1-1
Al Riyadh
Pro League
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0-0
Al-Fayha
Pro League
08 Sept
Al-Ittihad FC
2-1
Al-Fayha
Pro League
03 Sept
Al-Fayha
2-2
Al Kholood
Pro League
28 Aug
Al-Fayha
3-2
Abha
Pro League
25 Aug
Al Taawon
0-0
Al-Fayha
Pro League
9
Win
29%
8
Draw
26%
14
Lost
45%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Al Khaleej Saihat

No reported absences

Al-Fayha

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

Value Bets
Al Khaleej Saihat Win2.04 (44.8%)
Al-Fayha Win3.38 (31.9%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.97 (49%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.77 (51%)
Both Teams Score1.78 (53%)
BTTS No1.91 (47%)
Speculative
Draw3.34 (23.3%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Al Khaleej Saihat have averaged 3.9 corners per match at home; Al-Fayha 3.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Al Khaleej Saihat have generated 1.08 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 10% of them. They put 3.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al Khaleej Saihat player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.