Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata Prediction, Tips & Odds
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata
Match Preview
The model favours Olympiakos Piraeus to win against Kalamata, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Olympiakos is currently positioned third in the Super League 1 standings, having accumulated 13 points from their six matches played. Their strong season form includes four wins, one draw, and only one loss, with a solid goal difference of three, having scored five goals and conceded just two. This defensive resilience, coupled with their attacking capabilities, makes them a formidable opponent. In contrast, Kalamata sits in 11th place with only four points from five matches, reflecting a challenging start to their season. Their record shows just one win, along with one draw and three losses, resulting in a negative goal difference of two. With six goals scored but eight conceded, they have struggled to find consistency, which is evident in their recent form of one win, three draws, and one loss. This puts them at a disadvantage against a stronger Olympiakos side. The model outputs an 82.0% probability of an Olympiakos win, with a projected score of 2-0, while Kalamata has a slim 5.0% chance of victory. One caveat to consider is that if Kalamata manages to disrupt Olympiakos's rhythm early in the match, it could lead to an unexpected outcome. The full methodology, based on an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Olympiakos Piraeus have kept a clean sheet in 43% of matches. Kalamata average 1.5 goals per game.
Combined goal output is high (2.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.2% probability.
Olympiakos Piraeus have been the stronger side, winning 46% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Olympiakos Piraeus win as the most likely scoreline at 18.2% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Olympiakos Piraeus clean sheets, in line with their 43% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Olympiakos Piraeus are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.13 | 7.20 | 19.00 | 1.52 | 2.24 | 2.61 | 1.42 | |
| 1.10 | 7.00 | 16.00 | — | — | 2.55 | 1.45 | |
| 1.12 | 7.00 | 23.00 | — | — | 2.50 | 1.44 | |
| 1.14 | 7.00 | 17.00 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 2.62 | 1.44 | |
| 1.13 | 7.20 | 19.00 | 1.52 | 2.24 | 2.61 | 1.43 | |
Betano | 1.17 | 6.80 | 19.50 | 1.57 | 2.47 | 2.45 | 1.52 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (Olympiakos Piraeus leads 2-0)In the last two matches between Olympiakos Piraeus and Kalamata, Olympiakos has won both encounters, with a record of 2 wins and 0 draws. The scorelines indicate a clear advantage for Olympiakos, winning 4-1 and 2-0, showcasing their ability to secure both narrow and heavy victories. Kalamata has not managed to score more than one goal in their encounters, highlighting a struggle in offense against this opponent. With no wins for Kalamata in these recent fixtures, their last victory is notably absent from the record, suggesting a challenging historical matchup.
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  AEK Athens FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 14 | WWDWD |
| 3 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | WWLDW |
| 4 |  PAOK | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 | WWLWW |
| 5 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 10 | WDLLW |
| 6 |  OFI | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 | LDWWL |
| 11 | Kalamata | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 | LWDLL |
| 12 |  Atromitos | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2 | LLDDL |
| 13 |  Levadiakos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 1 | LLDLL |
| 14 |  Volos NFC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | LLLDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonOlympiakos Piraeus have won 8 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Panathinaikos 1-0 and beat Jagiellonia 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 10D 9L from the last 35 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Kalamata have won 5 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Atromitos 1-1 and drew with Volos NFC 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 4D 4L from the last 19 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersOlympiakos Piraeus
No reported absences
Kalamata
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Olympiakos Piraeus have averaged 6.8 corners per match at home; Kalamata 3.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Olympiakos Piraeus have generated 1.73 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 46% of them. They put 5.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Olympiakos Piraeus player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.