Kalamata vs OFI Prediction, Tips & Odds
Kalamata vs OFI
Match Preview
The model favours Kalamata to win with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Despite their current position in 10th place, Kalamata has shown resilience in recent matches with one win, three draws, and only one loss in their last five outings. Their scoring record of six goals, while conceding eight, indicates a need for improvement in defence, but they have managed to create chances. On the other hand, OFI sits comfortably in 4th place, having won three of their five matches this season and remaining unbeaten in their last five games, with four wins and one draw. Their goal difference of +4, with eight goals scored and only four conceded, highlights a solid defensive structure and an effective attacking strategy. This strong form suggests they will be a challenging opponent for Kalamata. The model gives Kalamata a win probability of 38.8%, while the chances of a draw stand at 30.3% and OFI's at 30.8%. One potential caveat for Kalamata is their defensive vulnerabilities, which could be exploited by OFI's potent attack. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Kalamata manage games at home, conceding just 0.84 goals per match. OFI score 1.53 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.1% probability.
Kalamata have been the stronger side, winning 58% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.1% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Kalamata clean sheets, in line with their 47% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Kalamata are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Kalamata vs OFI| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.40 | 3.05 | 3.02 | 2.17 | 1.64 | 1.85 | 1.83 | |
| 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.88 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.40 | 2.90 | 3.00 | — | — | 1.91 | 1.83 | |
| 2.35 | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 1.65 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 2.42 | 3.05 | 3.04 | 2.17 | 1.64 | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  AEK Athens FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 14 | WWDWD |
| 3 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | WWLDW |
| 4 |  PAOK | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 | WWLWW |
| 5 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 10 | WDLLW |
| 6 | OFI | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 | LDWWL |
| 11 | Kalamata | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 | LWDLL |
| 12 |  Atromitos | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2 | LLDDL |
| 13 |  Levadiakos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 1 | LLDLL |
| 14 |  Volos NFC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | LLLDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonKalamata have won 6 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Panathinaikos 0-1 and drew with Larisa 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 4D 4L from the last 19 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
OFI have won 6 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to OFI 3-0 and beat Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 7D 11L from the last 34 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersKalamata
No reported absences
OFI
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Kalamata have averaged 3.0 corners per match at home; OFI 1.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 3.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Kalamata have generated 1.32 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 58% of them. They put 3.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Kalamata player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.