Abha vs Al Kholood Prediction, Tips & Odds
Abha vs Al Kholood
Match Preview
The model favours Al Kholood to win against Abha, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Al Kholood currently sits in 7th place in the league, with a record of three wins, three draws, and just one loss from their first seven matches. Their goal difference of +2 reflects a solid offensive and defensive balance, scoring 12 goals while conceding 10. With a form summary showing two wins and two draws in their last five matches, Al Kholood appears to be in a comfortable position. In contrast, Abha is struggling at the bottom of the table in 18th place, having failed to secure a victory this season. With only two draws and five losses, their record indicates severe difficulties, particularly in their goal-scoring ability, managing just five goals while conceding 13. Their recent form of two draws and three losses highlights a lack of momentum, which will be a significant challenge against a mid-table side like Al Kholood. The model suggests a win probability of around 65% for Al Kholood, while the key market percentage indicates a strong likelihood of a clean sheet for the visitors. However, Al Kholood's form has shown some inconsistency, which could present opportunities for Abha if they manage to capitalize on any defensive lapses. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, which outlines our in-house model's analysis based on expected goals and actual results across the season, as conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.2% probability.
Al Kholood have been the stronger side, winning 25% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Al Kholood are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Abha vs Al Kholood| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.69 | 3.28 | 2.26 | 1.79 | 1.88 | 1.64 | 2.07 | |
| 2.84 | 3.41 | 2.38 | 1.81 | 1.98 | — | — | |
| 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.30 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.10 | |
| 2.62 | 3.20 | 2.35 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.82 | 3.43 | 2.37 | 1.82 | 1.92 | 1.64 | 2.10 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (Al Kholood leads 1-0)The head-to-head record between Abha and Al Kholood shows Al Kholood with 1 win, Abha with 0 wins, and 1 draw from their last 2 matches. The scorelines indicate a competitive but slightly favorable trend for Al Kholood, as they secured a 2-0 victory in their most recent encounter, while the other match ended in a goalless draw. This suggests that while Abha has managed to hold Al Kholood to a draw, they have not yet found a way to win against them in these fixtures.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 22 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 21 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 17 | LWWWD |
| 5 |  NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 16 | DWWWL |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 12 | LLLWD |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 | WLLLD |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 | LLLDL |
| 18 | Abha | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 2 | LDLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAbha have won 3 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Abha 0-1 and drew with Abha 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 4D 9L from the last 19 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Al Kholood have won 4 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Al Kholood 3-2 and lost to Al Riyadh 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 11D 13L from the last 32 games (25% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAbha
No reported absences
Al Kholood
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Abha have averaged 2.9 corners per match at home; Al Kholood 5.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al Kholood have generated 1.78 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 25% of them. They put 4.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al Kholood player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
