Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Ahli Jeddah to win against Al-Fayha, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Al-Ahli Jeddah currently sits 6th in the league standings with 12 points from 7 matches, having secured 4 wins and suffered 3 losses. Their goal-scoring prowess is evident, with 16 goals scored, reflecting a strong attacking performance. The team has a positive goal difference of 6, which highlights their ability to not only score but also manage defensive responsibilities effectively. On the other hand, Al-Fayha is struggling in 12th place with only 6 points from 7 games, recording just 1 win alongside 3 draws and 3 losses. They have scored 7 goals but have conceded 11, resulting in a negative goal difference of 4. This indicates that while they can find the net, their defensive vulnerabilities could be a significant concern as they face a more potent opponent. The model suggests a win probability of 65% for Al-Ahli Jeddah, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market percentage to note is that Al-Ahli Jeddah is expected to win by a margin of one goal. However, Al-Fayha could pull off an upset if they manage to tighten their defence and capitalize on any mistakes made by Al-Ahli Jeddah. For a detailed breakdown of the analysis, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, which outlines our in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.0% probability.
Al-Ahli Jeddah have been the stronger side, winning 62% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-2 Al-Ahli Jeddah win as the most likely scoreline at 14.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Al-Ahli Jeddah are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 7.40 | 4.95 | 1.28 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.74 | 1.93 | |
| 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 | 1.45 | 2.55 | — | — | |
| 7.17 | 5.36 | 1.33 | 1.49 | 2.55 | — | — | |
| 7.00 | 4.75 | 1.30 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.00 | |
| 7.00 | 4.50 | 1.33 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 8.15 | 5.47 | 1.31 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.74 | 1.96 | |
Betano | 7.50 | 5.30 | 1.38 | 1.55 | 2.55 | 1.78 | 1.95 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al-Ahli Jeddah leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between Al-Fayha and Al-Ahli Jeddah, Al-Ahli Jeddah has won 7 times, with Al-Fayha winning just once and 2 matches ending in a draw. The scorelines indicate a generally one-sided rivalry, with Al-Ahli Jeddah achieving several convincing victories, including a 5-0 win and a 4-0 win. Al-Fayha's sole victory came in 2021, highlighting their struggle against this opponent. The matches tend to be low-scoring overall, as evidenced by the frequent narrow margins in Al-Ahli Jeddah's wins and the two draws, suggesting that while Al-Ahli Jeddah has dominated, Al-Fayha can occasionally make it competitive.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 22 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 21 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 17 | LWWWD |
| 5 |  NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 16 | DWWWL |
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 14 | Al-Fayha | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 7 | LDDLD |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 | WLLLD |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 | LLLDL |
| 18 |  Abha | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 2 | LDLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Fayha have won 6 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Al-Fayha 1-1 and drew with Al-Fayha 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 8D 15L from the last 32 games (28% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Al-Ahli Jeddah have won 9 of their last 20 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat Al-Ahli Jeddah 1-3 and beat Al-Fateh 0-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 24W 6D 9L from the last 39 games (62% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Fayha
No reported absences
Al-Ahli Jeddah
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Fayha have averaged 3.1 corners per match at home; Al-Ahli Jeddah 4.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Ahli Jeddah have generated 2.35 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 62% of them. They put 5.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Ahli Jeddah player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
