Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat
Match Preview
The model favours Al Khaleej Saihat to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. Despite both teams struggling this season, Al Khaleej Saihat sits slightly higher in the standings, currently in 13th place with 5 points from 7 matches. Their record includes 5 draws, indicating a resilience in securing points, even if they have yet to achieve a victory. Their goal difference of -7 reflects a defensive vulnerability, but they have managed to keep games close, as shown by their recent form of three draws in their last five matches. Al-Fateh, on the other hand, is in a precarious position at 15th place with only 3 points from 7 matches. They have yet to win a match this season, with a dismal record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses. Their goal-scoring has also been a concern, netting only 4 goals while conceding 11, leading to a goal difference of -7. Their recent form of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses reflects ongoing struggles to turn draws into victories. The model indicates a win probability of 45% for Al Khaleej Saihat, with a projected score of 1-0. However, a potential caveat is that both teams have shown difficulty converting draws into wins, which could lead to another stalemate. The full method used for this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as analysed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilises expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (1.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.7% probability.
Al-Fateh have been the stronger side, winning 13% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Al-Fateh are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.20 | 3.34 | 2.74 | 1.75 | 1.93 | 1.61 | 2.12 | |
| 2.38 | 3.60 | 2.70 | 1.75 | 2.05 | — | — | |
| 2.30 | 3.34 | 3.01 | 1.80 | 1.99 | — | — | |
| 2.25 | 3.10 | 2.70 | — | — | 1.60 | 2.15 | |
| 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.80 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.30 | 3.49 | 2.87 | 1.78 | 1.97 | 1.61 | 2.16 | |
Betano | 2.45 | 3.45 | 2.85 | 1.80 | 2.05 | 1.62 | 2.22 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al-Fateh leads 6-3)In the last 10 matches between Al-Fateh and Al Khaleej Saihat, Al-Fateh has won 6 times, there has been 1 draw, and Al Khaleej Saihat has won 3 times. The scorelines indicate a somewhat competitive rivalry, though Al-Fateh has had the upper hand with several decisive victories, including a 5-1 win. The matches have varied in scoring, with a mix of narrow wins and a few higher-scoring games. Al Khaleej Saihat's last win came in 2024, suggesting a recent struggle to secure victories against Al-Fateh.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 22 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 21 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 17 | LWWWD |
| 5 |  NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 16 | DWWWL |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 11 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 9 | WDDDL |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 | WLLLD |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 | LLLDL |
| 18 |  Abha | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 2 | LDLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Fateh have won 3 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Al-Fateh 0-4 and lost to Al-Fateh 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 10D 16L from the last 30 games (13% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Al Khaleej Saihat have won 1 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Al-Ettifaq 1-1 and lost to NEOM 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 11D 15L from the last 30 games (13% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Fateh
No reported absences
Al Khaleej Saihat
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Fateh have averaged 4.2 corners per match at home; Al Khaleej Saihat 3.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Fateh have generated 1.04 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 13% of them. They put 3.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Fateh player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
