Tigre vs Belgrano Cordoba Prediction, Tips & Odds
Tigre vs Belgrano Cordoba
Match Preview
The model favours Belgrano Cordoba to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Belgrano currently sits in 5th place in the Liga Profesional Argentina, having accumulated 26 points from 16 matches. Their season has been strong, with a record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses. Notably, they have a solid goal difference of +4, scoring 17 goals while conceding 13. Their recent form, with three wins and two draws in the last five matches, indicates they are in good shape heading into this fixture. In contrast, Tigre is positioned 10th in the league, with 20 points from their 16 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses reflects a struggle to convert draws into wins. Although they have a positive goal difference of +3, their goal-scoring has been modest with only 18 goals. Tigre's recent form has been mixed, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, suggesting they have faced challenges in maintaining consistent performances. The model gives Belgrano a win probability of around 55%, with a projected score of 2-1. However, Tigre's home advantage and potential for an upset should not be overlooked. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Tigre have kept a clean sheet in 29% of matches. Belgrano Cordoba average 1.2 goals per game.
Tigre manage games at home, conceding just 0.89 goals per match. Belgrano Cordoba score 1.24 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.4% probability.
Tigre have been the stronger side, winning 32% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 18.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Tigre are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Tigre vs Belgrano Cordoba| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.72 | 2.80 | 2.90 | 2.88 | 1.40 | 2.20 | 1.60 | |
| 2.72 | 2.75 | 2.93 | 2.89 | 1.32 | 2.30 | 1.53 | |
| 2.70 | 2.88 | 2.88 | 2.88 | 1.40 | — | — | |
| 2.62 | 2.80 | 2.80 | — | — | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
| 2.70 | 2.70 | 3.00 | 3.10 | 1.36 | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
| 2.77 | 2.80 | 2.98 | 2.89 | 1.32 | 2.30 | 1.55 | |
| 2.70 | 2.75 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 1.35 | 2.30 | 1.55 | |
| 2.63 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.88 | 1.36 | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
Betano | 2.77 | 2.75 | 3.05 | 3.00 | 1.42 | 2.22 | 1.62 |
Superbet | 2.75 | 2.75 | 3.10 | 3.05 | 1.39 | 2.30 | 1.58 |
BetVictor | 2.63 | 2.88 | 3.00 | 3.10 | 1.36 | 2.30 | 1.53 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Tigre leads 3-2)In the last 10 matches between Tigre and Belgrano Cordoba, Tigre has won 3 times, there have been 5 draws, and Belgrano Cordoba has won 2 matches. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with a notable frequency of draws, as 50% of the encounters have ended without a winner. While Tigre has achieved some convincing results, including a 3-0 win and a 2-0 victory, Belgrano Cordoba's most significant win was a 4-1 result, suggesting that there have been both tight and more lopsided matches. The last time Belgrano Cordoba won was in March 2021, highlighting a recent struggle to secure victories against Tigre.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | WLLWD |
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | WDLDW |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | DLLWW |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | LLLWW |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | WWLDD |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | WWWLW |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 | LWWWW |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 20 | WLDLD |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | LLDDL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | LLWDW |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | DLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTigre have won 6 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Tigre 1-2 and beat Tigre 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 11D 8L from the last 28 games (32% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Belgrano Cordoba have won 5 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Gimnasia Jujuy 2-2 and beat River Plate 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 8D 5L from the last 25 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersTigre
No reported absences
Belgrano Cordoba
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Tigre have averaged 4.0 corners per match at home; Belgrano Cordoba 3.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Tigre have generated 1.02 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 32% of them. They put 3.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Tigre player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
