Urawa vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction, Tips & Odds
Urawa vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Match Preview
The model favours Urawa to win this match against Sanfrecce Hiroshima, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Urawa, currently positioned 13th in the standings, is looking to kick off their season positively. Despite not having played any matches yet, their recent form shows a mixed bag of results, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. This suggests they may be searching for stability and momentum as they start the new campaign. On the other hand, Sanfrecce Hiroshima is positioned just behind Urawa in 14th place, also having not played any matches this season. Their recent form, however, stands out with four wins and only one loss in their last five matches. This indicates they may carry some confidence into the new season, despite the lack of competitive fixtures so far. The model output indicates a win probability favouring Urawa, although specific percentages are not available. Given the uncertainty of both teams starting their season, a key caveat is that either side could struggle to find their rhythm early on. For a complete understanding of how this prediction was reached, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the in-house model evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs this methodology to provide insights and predictions.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.1% probability.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima have been the stronger side, winning 53% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Urawa vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.90 | 3.45 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.85 | 1.73 | 1.95 | |
| 3.75 | 3.44 | 1.94 | 1.88 | 1.89 | 1.72 | 1.98 | |
| 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 1.73 | 2.10 | |
| 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.95 | 1.93 | 1.93 | — | — | |
| 3.35 | 3.10 | 1.97 | 1.94 | 1.90 | — | — | |
| 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.95 | — | — | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.95 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 3.84 | 3.52 | 1.99 | 1.90 | 1.92 | 1.72 | 2.01 | |
| 3.70 | 3.45 | 1.91 | 1.84 | 1.83 | 1.71 | 1.97 | |
| 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
Betano | 3.85 | 3.40 | 1.93 | 1.91 | 1.87 | 1.75 | 1.98 |
BetVictor | 3.75 | 3.60 | 1.95 | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (evenly matched 4-4)The head-to-head record stands at Urawa 4 wins, 2 draws, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 wins over the last 10 matches. This indicates a balanced rivalry, with both teams equally matched in terms of victories. The scorelines show a mix of narrow wins, such as Urawa's 1-0 and 2-1 victories, alongside more decisive results like Urawa's 3-0 wins. The presence of draws suggests competitive encounters, while the last win for either side was in November 2025, highlighting that both clubs have been successful in recent matchups against each other.
J1 League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Kashima | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 | DWW |
| 5 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | WWL |
| 6 |  Cerezo Osaka | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 | WLW |
| 18 |  Kyoto Sanga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | LDL |
| 19 | Urawa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 20 |  JEF United Chiba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2027 SeasonUrawa have won 7 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Urawa 1-4 and drew with Urawa 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 13L from the last 31 games (39% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 7 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include beat Urawa 1-4 and beat NK Slaven Belupo 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 6D 9L from the last 32 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedUrawa4-3-3Confirmed
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3-4-2-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersUrawa
No reported absences
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Urawa have averaged 4.2 corners per match at home; Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima have generated 1.86 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 53% of them. They put 6.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Sanfrecce Hiroshima player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
