Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun Prediction, Tips & Odds
Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun
Match Preview
The model favours Vikingur Reykjavik to secure a victory against FC Thun, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Vikingur Reykjavik's season has shown a mixed bag of results, but they have managed to secure two wins in their last five matches, demonstrating their ability to compete effectively. Their recent form includes two wins, one draw, and two losses, indicating a slight upward trend that they will look to capitalize on in this match. On the other hand, FC Thun has also had a challenging run, with only one win in their last five matches. Their form has included one victory, two draws, and two losses, suggesting they have struggled to find consistency. This inconsistency could be detrimental as they face a Vikingur side that is eager to perform at home. The model's output indicates a win probability of 55% for Vikingur Reykjavik, with a projected score of 2-1. However, one caveat to consider is that if FC Thun can stabilize their performance and take advantage of any defensive lapses from Vikingur, they could turn the match in their favour. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.4% probability.
Vikingur Reykjavik have been the stronger side, winning 70% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Vikingur Reykjavik are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.36 | 3.90 | 2.56 | 1.48 | 2.62 | 1.40 | 2.65 | |
| 2.22 | 3.78 | 2.80 | 1.39 | 2.61 | 1.37 | 2.80 | |
| 2.20 | 3.90 | 2.80 | 1.47 | 2.63 | 1.47 | 2.70 | |
| 2.23 | 3.95 | 2.87 | 1.45 | 2.73 | — | — | |
| 2.23 | 3.31 | 2.51 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.60 | — | — | 1.40 | 2.62 | |
| 2.20 | 3.75 | 2.62 | 1.44 | 2.62 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 2.31 | 3.93 | 2.91 | 1.39 | 2.61 | 1.37 | 2.86 | |
| 2.35 | 3.65 | 2.60 | 1.47 | 2.45 | 1.42 | 2.60 | |
| 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.60 | 1.44 | 2.60 | 1.40 | 2.63 | |
Betano | 2.35 | 3.75 | 2.67 | 1.47 | 2.55 | 1.42 | 2.65 |
Superbet | 2.42 | 3.80 | 2.67 | 1.50 | 2.62 | 1.43 | 2.70 |
BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.90 | 2.80 | 1.44 | 2.53 | 1.36 | 2.88 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (FC Thun leads 1-0)In their only past encounter, FC Thun has won against Vikingur Reykjavik with a score of 2-0. This result indicates a clear victory for FC Thun, suggesting they had a stronger performance in that match. With only one match played between these teams, there is insufficient data to identify patterns such as draw frequency or scoring trends. Vikingur Reykjavik has yet to secure a win in this head-to-head record, and it remains to be seen how they will respond in future meetings.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonVikingur Reykjavik have won 7 of their last 8 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat Vikingur Reykjavik 3-2 and drew with Vikingur Reykjavik 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 3D 4L from the last 23 games (70% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
FC Thun have won 6 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to FC Thun 7-0 and beat Saxon Sports 0-6.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 4D 12L from the last 30 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersVikingur Reykjavik
No reported absences
FC Thun
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
L. M. Branco Godinho has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by L. M. Branco Godinho to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Vikingur Reykjavik have averaged 4.0 corners per match at home; FC Thun 4.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Vikingur Reykjavik have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 70% of their matches and averaging 2.7 goals per game. They put 2.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Vikingur Reykjavik player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
