Vissel Kobe vs Kashima Prediction, Tips & Odds
Vissel Kobe vs Kashima
Match Preview
The model favours Kashima to win the match against Vissel Kobe, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Kashima currently sits in third place in the J1 League standings, boasting a perfect record with three wins from their opening three matches. They have scored a total of nine goals while conceding six, indicating a strong attacking presence despite some defensive vulnerabilities. Vissel Kobe, on the other hand, is positioned eighth with one win, one draw, and one loss from their three games, accumulating four points. Their goal difference stands at zero, with three goals scored and three conceded. While they have shown some resilience, their recent form of three wins, one draw, and one loss suggests inconsistency, which could be a concern as they face a formidable opponent. The model output indicates a win probability of approximately 70% for Kashima, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat for this prediction is Vissel Kobe's ability to perform at home, which could disrupt Kashima's perfect start if they manage to leverage their home advantage effectively. For a detailed overview of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Vissel Kobe manage games at home, conceding just 1.11 goals per match. Kashima score 1.83 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.5% probability.
Vissel Kobe have been the stronger side, winning 51% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Vissel Kobe are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Vissel Kobe vs Kashima| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 1.80 | 1.87 | |
| 2.68 | 3.12 | 2.65 | 2.18 | 1.66 | 1.84 | 1.84 | |
| 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.40 | 2.10 | 1.73 | 1.87 | 1.90 | |
| 2.75 | 3.27 | 2.75 | 2.23 | 1.71 | — | — | |
| 2.64 | 2.94 | 2.43 | 2.16 | 1.70 | — | — | |
| 2.62 | 3.00 | 2.62 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.70 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 2.74 | 3.20 | 2.71 | 2.21 | 1.68 | 1.84 | 1.86 | |
| 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.55 | 2.20 | 1.58 | 1.86 | 1.81 | |
| 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.40 | 2.05 | 1.70 | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
Betano | 3.00 | 3.15 | 2.40 | 2.10 | 1.72 | 1.80 | 1.91 |
Superbet | 2.95 | 3.15 | 2.40 | 2.10 | 1.69 | 1.82 | 1.88 |
BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.70 | 2.08 | 1.64 | 1.83 | 1.85 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Vissel Kobe leads 5-3)In the last 10 matches between Vissel Kobe and Kashima, Vissel Kobe has won 5 times, Kashima has won 3 times, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate that Vissel Kobe has had several convincing victories, including a 5-0 win and a 5-1 win, suggesting they can dominate in matches. However, Kashima has also secured narrow wins, including a 1-0 result. The presence of two draws reflects some competitive balance, but Vissel Kobe's recent performances have been particularly strong, with their last three matches yielding two wins by at least two goals.
J1 League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | WWWLD |
| 3 | Kashima | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 | LLWWW |
| 4 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 | LLWWW |
| 5 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 11 | LWDDW |
| 6 |  FC Tokyo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 11 | WDWWD |
| 18 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 | LDLLL |
| 19 |  Tokyo Verdy | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 20 |  JEF United Chiba | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 3 | WLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2027 SeasonVissel Kobe have won 13 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat V-varen Nagasaki 3-1 and beat Cerezo Osaka 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 9D 8L from the last 35 games (51% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Kashima have won 7 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Kashima 4-2 and beat Tokyo Verdy 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 22W 5D 3L from the last 30 games (73% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedVissel Kobe4-3-3Confirmed
Kashima4-4-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersVissel Kobe
No reported absences
Kashima
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Vissel Kobe have averaged 4.6 corners per match at home; Kashima 3.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Vissel Kobe have generated 2.18 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 51% of them. They put 4.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Vissel Kobe player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
