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Warri Wolves vs Inter Lagos Prediction, Tips & Odds

Warri Wolves vs Inter Lagos

NPFLRegular Season - 8
Warri Wolves
#14 · NPFL
WLLWD
3 - 1
Warri Township Stadium, Warri (20,000)
Inter Lagos
#20 · NPFL
LDLDW

Match Preview

The model favours Warri Wolves to win against Inter Lagos, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Warri Wolves currently sit in 12th place, having played five matches this season with two wins, one draw, and two losses. Their goal-scoring has been modest, netting three goals, while conceding four. This indicates a slightly better defensive record compared to their opponents, which may play a crucial role in the upcoming match. Inter Lagos, on the other hand, is struggling at 19th place in the league standings. With only one win from six matches, they have managed to score three goals but have conceded nine, resulting in a negative goal difference of six. Their recent form shows one win, one draw, and three losses, highlighting ongoing challenges in both attack and defense. The model outputs a win probability of approximately 58% for Warri Wolves, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market to consider is the likelihood of Warri Wolves winning by a single goal, which stands at 30%. However, one caveat is that if Inter Lagos finds a way to improve their defensive structure, they could pose a more significant threat than their current form suggests. The full methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results across the season.

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Warri Wolves leads 1-0)
1 Warri Wolves0 Draw0 Inter Lagos
11 Oct
Warri Wolves
3-1
Inter Lagos
NPFL

In their only previous encounter, Warri Wolves won against Inter Lagos with a score of 3-1. This result indicates a clear victory for Warri Wolves, showcasing their offensive strength while limiting Inter Lagos to a single goal. With no draws recorded and Inter Lagos yet to secure a win in this matchup, the historical fixture suggests a one-sided dynamic favoring Warri Wolves.

NPFL Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Enugu Rangers
8521149517
DWWLW
2
Rivers United
84401321116
DWDDW
3
Plateau United
8422138514
WLWDW
4
Barau FC
8341129313
DLDWD
5
Doma United
84131010013
LWLDL
6
Ikorodu City
8332107312
WLDWL
14
Warri Wolves
831467-110
WLLWD
18
Kun Khalifat FC
8224714-78
WLWLL
19
Enyimba
82151114-37
LWWDL
20
Inter Lagos
8125513-82
LDLDW

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Warri WolvesHome
3W0D1L
4 playedGF 5 · GA 22.25 pts/game
Inter LagosAway
1W0D3L
4 playedGF 3 · GA 70.75 pts/game

Key Statistics

2027 Season
Warri WolvesInter Lagos
0.93Goals p.g.0.62
1.21Goals conceded p.g.1.62
43%Clean sheets12%
36%Win rate12%
2.14Avg goals in match2.25
Warri Wolves
Recent Form

Warri Wolves have won 9 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Inter Lagos 3-1 and lost to Enugu Rangers 0-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 10W 5D 13L from the last 28 games (36% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Warri WolvesAll competitions
11 Oct
Warri Wolves
3-1
Inter Lagos
NPFL
04 Oct
Doma United
1-0
Warri Wolves
NPFL
30 Sept
Warri Wolves
0-1
Enugu Rangers
NPFL
27 Sept
Warri Wolves
1-0
Shooting Stars
NPFL
23 Sept
Niger Tornadoes
0-0
Warri Wolves
NPFL
20 Sept
Warri Wolves
1-0
Kwara United
NPFL
10
Win
36%
5
Draw
18%
13
Lost
46%
Inter Lagos
Recent Form

Inter Lagos have won 1 of their last 4 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Inter Lagos 3-1 and lost to Plateau United 2-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 1W 2D 5L from the last 8 games (13% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Inter LagosAll competitions
11 Oct
Warri Wolves
3-1
Inter Lagos
NPFL
04 Oct
Inter Lagos
1-1
Katsina United
NPFL
27 Sept
Plateau United
2-0
Inter Lagos
NPFL
23 Sept
Inter Lagos
1-1
Kano Pillars
NPFL
20 Sept
Enyimba
0-1
Inter Lagos
NPFL
13 Sept
Inter Lagos
0-3
Sporting Lagos
NPFL
1
Win
13%
2
Draw
25%
5
Lost
63%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Warri Wolves

No reported absences

Inter Lagos

No reported absences

What's Your Prediction?

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.