Wolves vs West Brom Prediction, Tips & Odds
Wolves vs West Brom
Match Preview
The model favours Wolves to win this match against West Brom, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Wolves currently sit in 9th place in the Championship standings, having played five matches this season. With two wins, two draws, and one loss, they have scored 13 goals while conceding 10, resulting in a goal difference of +3. Their recent form shows improvement, with three wins in their last five matches, indicating a positive upward trend. West Brom, on the other hand, is positioned 5th in the league with a solid start to their season. They have recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss, accumulating 10 points. With 8 goals scored and 6 conceded, their goal difference stands at +2. However, their recent form has been mixed, with only two wins in the last five matches, which may suggest some inconsistency as they head into this fixture. The model output suggests a win probability in favour of Wolves, reflecting their strong attacking performance and recent form. However, a potential caveat is that if West Brom can tighten their defence and exploit any vulnerabilities in Wolves' backline, they could still pose a significant threat. The full method for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Wolves manage games at home, conceding just 1.43 goals per match. West Brom score 1.48 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.1% probability.
Wolves have been the stronger side, winning 36% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.1% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Wolves clean sheets, in line with their 29% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Wolves are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Wolves vs West Brom| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.82 | 3.55 | 4.10 | 1.86 | 1.88 | 1.75 | 1.94 | |
| 1.85 | 3.60 | 4.33 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.75 | 2.05 | |
| 1.88 | 3.71 | 4.25 | 1.93 | 1.95 | — | — | |
| 1.80 | 3.16 | 3.64 | 1.90 | 1.92 | — | — | |
| 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.20 | — | — | 1.75 | 1.95 | |
| 1.80 | 3.70 | 4.33 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 1.84 | 3.55 | 4.08 | 1.86 | 1.88 | 1.75 | 1.97 | |
Betano | 1.90 | 3.80 | 4.30 | 1.91 | 1.93 | 1.78 | 1.98 |
BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.70 | 4.33 | 1.83 | 1.84 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 7 Meetings (West Brom leads 3-2)In the last seven matches between Wolves and West Brom, the record stands at Wolves with 2 wins, West Brom with 3 wins, and 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several close encounters; three matches ended in a draw or a one-goal difference. Notably, West Brom has achieved two heavy wins, including a 5-1 victory in 2012. The most recent meeting saw Wolves winning 2-0, but overall, West Brom has the edge in this matchup historically. The last time Wolves defeated West Brom before their recent win was in May 2011.
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | WWWWD |
| 2 | West Brom | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Swansea | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 | LDWWD |
| 4 |  QPR | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | DLWWD |
| 5 |  Charlton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 11 | DLDWW |
| 6 |  Middlesbrough | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | WDWLW |
| 11 | Wolves | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 8 | DLWWD |
| 22 |  Derby | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 23 |  Burnley | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 | DLDLL |
| 24 |  Preston | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3 | LWLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonWolves have won 5 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Wolves 4-1 and beat Wolves 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 7D 11L from the last 28 games (36% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
West Brom have won 6 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Middlesbrough 3-1 and lost to Newcastle 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 11D 7L from the last 29 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersWolves
No reported absences
West Brom
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Josh Smith has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Josh Smith to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Wolves have averaged 5.5 corners per match at home; West Brom 4.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Wolves have generated 2.31 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 36% of them. They put 6.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Wolves player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
