Aarhus vs Odense Prediction, Tips & Odds
Aarhus vs Odense
Match Preview
The model favours Aarhus to win this match against Odense, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Aarhus currently sits in 7th place with two draws from their opening fixtures, scoring three goals and conceding three. Their season form shows resilience, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in the last five matches, indicating they are capable of competing effectively, especially at home. On the other hand, Odense occupies 6th place with one win and one loss in their first two matches of the season. They have scored one goal and conceded one, but their recent form has been less impressive, with only two wins and three losses in their last five matches. This inconsistency could hinder their performance as they face a solid Aarhus side. According to the model, Aarhus has a win probability of around 55%, while Odense's chances stand at 25%. One key market to note is the odds for Aarhus to win, which reflect their slight advantage. However, a potential caveat is that Aarhus has yet to secure a win this season, which may affect their confidence. For more details on how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis comes from The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which uses an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.2% probability.
Aarhus have been the stronger side, winning 42% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Aarhus are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Aarhus vs Odense| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.75 | 3.90 | 4.20 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.20 | |
| 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.10 | 1.54 | 2.21 | 1.56 | 2.24 | |
| 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.20 | 1.62 | 2.30 | 1.57 | 2.38 | |
| 1.81 | 4.13 | 4.18 | 1.65 | 2.34 | — | — | |
| 1.76 | 3.62 | 3.82 | 1.61 | 2.29 | — | — | |
| 1.75 | 3.75 | 4.00 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.33 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.07 | 1.54 | 2.21 | 1.56 | 2.28 | |
| 1.71 | 3.90 | 4.35 | 1.58 | 2.30 | 1.56 | 2.23 | |
| 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.20 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
Betano | 1.82 | 3.85 | 4.15 | 1.67 | 2.27 | 1.60 | 2.25 |
Superbet | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.15 | 1.63 | 2.30 | 1.59 | 2.27 |
BetVictor | 1.73 | 3.75 | 4.00 | 1.58 | 2.19 | 1.55 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Aarhus leads 6-2)In the last ten matches between Aarhus and Odense, Aarhus has won 6 times, Odense has won 2, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Aarhus to dominate, with several matches ending in heavy victories such as 5-1 and 4-1. While Odense has managed to secure two wins, the last of these came in May 2022, suggesting a drought in recent success against Aarhus. The presence of multiple narrow matches, including three 1-1 draws, shows that while Aarhus often prevails, there are instances of competitive balance in their encounters.
Superliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Copenhagen | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  FC Midtjylland | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 14 | WDWDW |
| 3 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Viborg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 5 |  Brondby | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 6 |  AC Horsens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 10 | WLWWL |
| 10 | Odense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 | LDDLL |
| 11 | Aarhus | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 12 |  Sonderjyske | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 1 | LLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAarhus have won 9 of their last 20 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Silkeborg 2-2 and lost to FC Midtjylland 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 12D 9L from the last 36 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Odense have won 3 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Odense 1-1 and beat FC Fredericia 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 6D 12L from the last 29 games (38% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedAarhus3-4-2-1Confirmed
Odense4-4-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
10 playersAarhus6
Odense4
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
M. Kristoffersen has averaged 6.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Aarhus have averaged 6.3 corners per match at home; Odense 6.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Aarhus have generated 1.67 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 42% of them. They put 4.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Aarhus player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.