AC Horsens vs Brondby Prediction, Tips & Odds
AC Horsens vs Brondby
Match Preview
The model favours a draw in this match, projecting a scoreline of 1-1. Both AC Horsens and Brondby find themselves in the middle of the Superliga standings after their opening fixtures, each with one point from a draw. AC Horsens currently sits in 6th position, having scored and conceded one goal in their season opener. Their recent form shows a mixed bag, with only one win in their last five matches, which may impact their confidence going into this game. Brondby, placed just above Horsens in 5th, also draws their season opener with a similar goal tally. Their recent form is slightly better, with two wins in their last five matches, suggesting they may have a bit more momentum. However, they will need to improve their consistency if they want to make a significant impact this season. The model indicates a 38% probability of a draw, with a projected score of 1-1. A key market to watch is the total goals line, which may reflect the cautious approach both teams have shown early in the season. One caveat to consider is the potential for either side to find their attacking rhythm, which could lead to a higher-scoring affair. The full method of our prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
AC Horsens manage games at home, conceding just 1.00 goals per match. Brondby score 1.54 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.7% probability.
Brondby have been the stronger side, winning 32% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-1 Brondby win as the most likely scoreline at 15.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Brondby are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
AC Horsens vs Brondby| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 5.60 | 3.85 | 1.57 | 1.83 | 1.95 | 1.83 | 1.85 | |
| 5.30 | 3.92 | 1.59 | 1.84 | 1.93 | 1.83 | 1.85 | |
| 5.50 | 3.90 | 1.57 | 1.80 | 1.91 | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 5.54 | 4.15 | 1.62 | 1.89 | 2.00 | — | — | |
| 5.22 | 3.82 | 1.58 | 1.89 | 1.97 | — | — | |
| 5.00 | 3.75 | 1.60 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 5.50 | 3.90 | 1.60 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.91 | 1.91 | |
| 5.22 | 3.92 | 1.61 | 1.84 | 1.93 | 1.83 | 1.87 | |
| 4.90 | 3.80 | 1.65 | 1.80 | 1.98 | 1.73 | 1.96 | |
| 4.20 | 3.50 | 1.75 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
Betano | 5.40 | 3.90 | 1.65 | 1.91 | 1.95 | 1.87 | 1.87 |
Superbet | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.64 | 1.88 | 1.92 | 1.88 | 1.87 |
BetVictor | 5.25 | 3.80 | 1.55 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.83 | 1.85 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Brondby leads 6-3)In the last 10 matches between AC Horsens and Brondby, Brondby leads with 6 wins, while AC Horsens has won 3 times and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a pattern of relatively high-scoring games, with Brondby achieving several convincing victories, including a notable 5-2 win in February 2023 and a 5-1 win in April 2018. The results suggest that while AC Horsens has managed to secure some wins, the overall trend favors Brondby, particularly with their ability to score multiple goals in several encounters. The last time AC Horsens won against Brondby was in June 2020, indicating a gap in their recent successes against this opponent.
Superliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brondby | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | WWD |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Randers FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WLD |
| 5 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WD |
| 6 |  Viborg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | DLW |
| 10 |  Sonderjyske | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | DLL |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | LDL |
| 12 | AC Horsens | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAC Horsens have won 4 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Brondby 0-2 and drew with FC Nordsjaelland 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 4D 5L from the last 15 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Brondby have won 3 of their last 10 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat Brondby 0-2 and drew with Aarhus 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 8D 11L from the last 28 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedAC Horsens4-2-3-1Confirmed
Brondby4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
4 playersAC Horsens1
Brondby3
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
J. Karlsen has averaged 3.0 yellow cards per match across 3 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
AC Horsens have averaged 3.5 corners per match at home; Brondby 5.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Brondby have generated 1.68 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 32% of them. They put 4.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Brondby player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
