AC Horsens vs Lyngby Prediction, Tips & Odds
AC Horsens vs Lyngby
Match Preview
The model favours AC Horsens to win this match against Lyngby, predicting a scoreline of 2-1. Despite both teams struggling early in the season, AC Horsens holds a slight edge in their overall standing, currently positioned 12th with just one point from three matches. Their goal difference of -3 reflects defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded five goals while scoring only two. On the other hand, Lyngby is in 11th place, also with one point from their three games. They have scored four goals but have been less effective defensively, allowing seven goals. Their recent form shows a mix of results, with two wins in their last five matches, indicating some potential for improvement, but they still lack consistency. The model output suggests a win probability of 55% for AC Horsens, with the key market indicating a 60% chance for them to secure at least a draw. However, a potential caveat for Horsens is their ongoing struggles to convert chances into goals, which could hinder their ability to secure a win. The full method used to reach this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as analysed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.9% probability.
AC Horsens have been the stronger side, winning 53% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. AC Horsens are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
AC Horsens vs Lyngby| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.88 | 3.35 | 2.35 | 1.85 | 1.93 | 1.62 | 2.10 | |
| 3.14 | 3.30 | 2.22 | 1.92 | 1.85 | 1.70 | 2.01 | |
| 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.20 | 1.91 | 1.80 | 1.65 | 2.10 | |
| 3.28 | 3.43 | 2.29 | 1.97 | 1.92 | — | — | |
| 3.00 | 3.15 | 2.18 | 2.00 | 1.84 | — | — | |
| 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.20 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 3.14 | 3.30 | 2.24 | 1.92 | 1.85 | 1.70 | 2.04 | |
| 2.95 | 3.35 | 2.30 | 1.82 | 1.93 | 1.61 | 2.15 | |
| 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.45 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
Betano | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 1.98 | 1.87 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
Superbet | 3.15 | 3.40 | 2.27 | 1.97 | 1.85 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.20 | 1.88 | 1.79 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (AC Horsens leads 5-2)In the last 10 encounters between AC Horsens and Lyngby, AC Horsens has won 5 matches, drawn 3, and Lyngby has won 2. The scorelines indicate a fairly competitive rivalry, with several closely contested matches, including three draws. Notably, the last five fixtures have seen low-scoring patterns, with four matches ending in a goal tally of 1 or fewer. Overall, while AC Horsens holds a slight edge, the head-to-head record shows that Lyngby has been able to secure victories, suggesting a balanced contest rather than a one-sided affair.
Superliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Copenhagen | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  FC Midtjylland | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 14 | WDWDW |
| 3 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Viborg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 5 |  Brondby | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 6 | AC Horsens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 10 | WLWWL |
| 8 | Lyngby | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 6 | WDLDL |
| 10 |  Odense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 | LDDLL |
| 11 |  Aarhus | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 12 |  Sonderjyske | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 1 | LLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAC Horsens have won 5 of their last 8 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include lost to AC Horsens 2-3 and beat AC Horsens 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 4D 5L from the last 19 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lyngby have won 7 of their last 10 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat Lyngby 0-2 and beat FA 2000 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 3D 5L from the last 18 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
2 playersAC Horsens1
Lyngby1
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
M. Tykgaard has averaged 7.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
AC Horsens have averaged 3.0 corners per match at home; Lyngby 5.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
AC Horsens have generated 1.00 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 53% of them. They put 4.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. AC Horsens player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
