Akron vs Akhmat Prediction, Tips & Odds
Akron vs Akhmat
Match Preview
The model favours Akhmat to win this match, predicting a scoreline of 2-1. Akhmat currently sits in 10th place in the league, having accumulated 6 points from their 6 matches played. Their season has been marked by a balanced attack, scoring 9 goals while conceding 8. With 2 wins in their last 5 matches, Akhmat appears to be finding some rhythm, particularly after recent performances that have shown improvement. On the other hand, Akron is struggling at 15th in the standings, with just 3 points from 6 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses highlights significant defensive vulnerabilities, as they have conceded 15 goals, resulting in a goal difference of -9. Despite a draw in their most recent game, Akron's overall form has been inconsistent, with only 1 win in their last 5 matches. The model gives Akhmat a win probability of approximately 55%, with the projected score of 2-1 reflecting their stronger season performance. However, a caveat exists: if Akron can tighten their defense and capitalize on set pieces, they could surprise the visitors. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.0% probability.
Akhmat have been the stronger side, winning 45% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Akhmat are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Akron vs Akhmat| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.14 | 3.42 | 2.32 | 1.93 | 1.88 | 1.70 | 2.03 | |
| 3.19 | 3.43 | 2.33 | 1.97 | 1.92 | — | — | |
| 2.94 | 3.15 | 2.21 | 1.97 | 1.89 | — | — | |
| 3.22 | 3.51 | 2.38 | 2.00 | 1.94 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 4 Meetings (evenly matched 1-1)The head-to-head record between Akron and Akhmat stands at 1 win for Akron, 2 draws, and 1 win for Akhmat across their last 4 matches. The scorelines indicate a relatively balanced rivalry, with two matches ending in draws and both teams securing one win each. Akron's 3-2 victory suggests a competitive encounter, while Akhmat's 3-0 win represents a more decisive result. The presence of two low-scoring draws, including a 0-0 stalemate, points to instances where defenses have held strong. Overall, the results reflect a closely contested series, with no team dominating the other.
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Krasnodar | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Spartak Moscow | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 | DWWLW |
| 3 |  Zenit | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 12 | WLWLW |
| 4 |  CSKA Moscow | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 12 | DWWDD |
| 5 |  Baltika | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 | WDLWW |
| 6 |  Dynamo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 | WWLWL |
| 10 | Akhmat | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 6 | DWLDL |
| 14 |  Lokomotiv | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 | LLDDL |
| 15 | Akron | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3 | DLDDL |
| 16 |  Fakel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 | LDLDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAkron have won 5 of their last 23 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 13. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Lokomotiv 0-0 and drew with CSKA Moscow 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 6D 19L from the last 36 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Akhmat have won 2 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 8 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Akhmat 3-0 and drew with FC Krasnodar 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 11D 7L from the last 33 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAkron
No reported absences
Akhmat
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Akron have averaged 4.6 corners per match at home; Akhmat 4.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Akhmat have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 45% of their matches and averaging 1.6 goals per game. They put 4.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Akhmat player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.