Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Faisaly FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Faisaly FC
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Ettifaq to win against Al-Faisaly FC, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Al-Ettifaq currently sits in 6th place in the Pro League standings, having played three matches this season. With two wins and one loss, they have scored a total of seven goals while conceding five, resulting in a positive goal difference of two. Their recent form shows a mixed bag, with two wins in their last five matches, but they have the advantage of a stronger start to the season compared to their upcoming opponents. In contrast, Al-Faisaly FC is struggling at the bottom of the table in 17th place, having played just two matches without securing a point. They are yet to win a game this season, with two losses and a goal difference of minus four, having conceded six goals while scoring only two. Their recent form is also concerning, as they have lost three of their last five matches, which could impact their confidence heading into this fixture. The model suggests a win probability of 65% for Al-Ettifaq, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage to note is their 60% chance of winning based on current trends. However, a potential caveat for Al-Ettifaq could be inconsistency in their recent performances, which may allow Al-Faisaly to capitalize if they can find their rhythm. The full method is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as our analysis team utilizes an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.5% probability.
Al-Ettifaq have been the stronger side, winning 36% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Al-Ettifaq are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Faisaly FC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.90 | 3.80 | 3.55 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.53 | 2.30 | |
| 1.88 | 3.58 | 3.34 | 1.61 | 2.17 | 1.54 | 2.25 | |
| 1.91 | 3.80 | 3.50 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 1.95 | 3.94 | 3.49 | 1.66 | 2.25 | — | — | |
| 1.89 | 3.42 | 3.26 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.25 | — | — | 1.53 | 2.30 | |
| 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 1.94 | 3.74 | 3.48 | 1.63 | 2.19 | 1.54 | 2.29 | |
| 1.89 | 3.55 | 3.40 | 1.58 | 2.28 | 1.50 | 2.35 | |
| 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 1.60 | 2.15 | 1.53 | 2.30 | |
Betano | 1.93 | 3.85 | 3.65 | 1.65 | 2.32 | 1.55 | 2.35 |
Superbet | 2.02 | 3.70 | 3.50 | 1.63 | 2.30 | 1.54 | 2.37 |
BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.61 | 2.13 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al-Ettifaq leads 4-3)In the last 10 matches between Al-Ettifaq and Al-Faisaly FC, Al-Ettifaq has won 4 times, there have been 3 draws, and Al-Faisaly FC has also won 3 times. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several closely contested matches, as evidenced by three 1-0 results and a 1-1 draw. However, there have also been some significant defeats, such as Al-Faisaly's 5-1 win in 2018. The frequency of draws and narrow victories suggests that while both teams have had their moments, no side has dominated the recent encounters.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 14 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Al-Nassr | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  NEOM | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 | WWLLW |
| 6 | Al-Ettifaq | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | DWLLW |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 3 | DDDLL |
| 17 | Al-Faisaly FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | DDLDL |
| 18 |  Abha | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Ettifaq have won 5 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Al-Faisaly FC 0-0 and lost to Al Diriyah 0-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 6D 12L from the last 28 games (36% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Al-Faisaly FC have won 5 of their last 7 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Al-Faisaly FC 0-0 and lost to Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 4D 3L from the last 16 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedAl-Ettifaq4-1-4-1Confirmed
Al-Faisaly FC4-1-4-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Ettifaq
No reported absences
Al-Faisaly FC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Ettifaq have averaged 5.4 corners per match at home; Al-Faisaly FC 2.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Ettifaq have generated 1.48 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 36% of them. They put 5.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Ettifaq player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.