Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad FC
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Ittihad FC to win this match against Al-Fateh, with a projected scoreline of 2-0. Al-Ittihad FC currently sits in 8th place after one match played, where they managed to secure a draw. Their season form shows a more competitive edge, reflecting two wins and two draws in their last five matches. The team has demonstrated a balanced approach, scoring one goal while conceding one, which indicates a stable defence. In contrast, Al-Fateh finds itself at the bottom of the standings in 18th place, having lost their opening match without scoring. Their recent form shows only one win in the last five matches, with three losses, suggesting ongoing struggles. With a goal difference of -3, they will need to improve significantly to pose a threat in this fixture. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 60% for Al-Ittihad FC, with a strong likelihood of a clean sheet. However, one caveat to consider is that if Al-Fateh can find their footing early in the match, they could potentially exploit any complacency from Al-Ittihad. The full method of this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilises expected goals and actual results across the season to inform its assessments.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.8% probability.
Al-Ittihad FC have been the stronger side, winning 55% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Al-Ittihad FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad FC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.45 | 3.85 | 1.91 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.45 | 2.50 | |
| 3.24 | 3.66 | 1.89 | 1.43 | 2.46 | 1.42 | 2.57 | |
| 3.30 | 3.90 | 1.91 | 1.44 | 2.60 | 1.40 | 2.75 | |
| 3.36 | 3.94 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 2.60 | — | — | |
| 3.11 | 3.30 | 1.84 | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.10 | 3.40 | 1.95 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.45 | |
| 3.10 | 3.70 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 3.36 | 3.80 | 1.96 | 1.43 | 2.46 | 1.42 | 2.62 | |
| 3.45 | 3.65 | 1.84 | 1.50 | 2.48 | 1.45 | 2.50 | |
Betano | 3.35 | 3.90 | 2.02 | 1.53 | 2.57 | 1.47 | 2.57 |
Superbet | 3.60 | 3.90 | 1.92 | 1.55 | 2.47 | 1.51 | 2.45 |
BetVictor | 3.13 | 3.75 | 1.95 | 1.47 | 2.55 | 1.40 | 2.63 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al-Ittihad FC leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between Al-Fateh and Al-Ittihad FC, Al-Ittihad has won 7 times, with Al-Fateh securing 1 win and 2 matches ending in a draw. This record indicates a dominant trend in favor of Al-Ittihad, particularly highlighted by several heavy victories, including a 5-1 win and multiple matches where they scored 3 or more goals. Al-Fateh's lone victory came in April 2025, suggesting they have struggled to overcome Al-Ittihad in recent encounters. The high-scoring nature of some fixtures also points to a tendency for matches to produce goals from both sides.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 3 | Al-Ittihad FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 14 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Al-Nassr | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  NEOM | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Al-Ettifaq | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | DWLLW |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 3 | DDDLL |
| 17 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | DDLDL |
| 18 |  Abha | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Fateh have won 3 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Al-Fateh 0-0 and lost to Al-Fateh 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 3W 10D 12L from the last 25 games (12% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Al-Ittihad FC have won 8 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Al-Fateh 0-0 and beat Al-Qadisiyah FC 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 6D 8L from the last 31 games (55% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedAl-Fateh4-2-3-1Confirmed
Al-Ittihad FC4-4-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Fateh
No reported absences
Al-Ittihad FC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Fateh have averaged 3.5 corners per match at home; Al-Ittihad FC 5.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Ittihad FC have generated 1.99 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 55% of them. They put 5.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Ittihad FC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.