Al-Hazm vs Al Shabab Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Hazm vs Al Shabab
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Hazm to win against Al Shabab, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Al-Hazm currently sits in fifth place in the league standings after their opening match, where they secured a solid victory with a goal difference of plus one. Their recent form has been strong, with three wins in their last five matches, showcasing their ability to find the net and maintain a competitive edge. In contrast, Al Shabab is struggling at the bottom of the table in 17th place, having lost their first match of the season with a negative goal difference of minus two. Their recent form has also been concerning, with only two wins in their last five matches, which may affect their confidence going into this fixture. The team's defensive vulnerabilities could be a significant issue against a team like Al-Hazm that has shown offensive prowess. The model gives Al-Hazm a win probability of around 60%, while Al Shabab's chances are approximately 20%. One key market percentage to consider is the likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match. However, a potential caveat is that if Al Shabab can tighten their defense and improve their performance, they may pose a greater challenge than expected. For a detailed explanation of our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team outlines our in-house model utilizing expected goals and actual results.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.4% probability.
Al Shabab have been the stronger side, winning 30% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Al Shabab are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Hazm vs Al Shabab| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.80 | 3.85 | 1.83 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 2.20 | |
| 3.54 | 3.55 | 1.83 | 1.64 | 2.12 | 1.57 | 2.19 | |
| 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.90 | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 3.57 | 3.82 | 1.96 | 1.68 | 2.20 | — | — | |
| 3.40 | 3.40 | 1.85 | — | — | 1.60 | 2.15 | |
| 3.30 | 3.70 | 1.90 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 3.68 | 3.68 | 1.90 | 1.66 | 2.14 | 1.57 | 2.23 | |
Betano | 3.45 | 3.95 | 1.98 | 1.70 | 2.20 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.90 | 1.64 | 2.09 | 1.55 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al Shabab leads 10-0)In the last 10 matches between Al-Hazm and Al Shabab, Al Shabab has won all 10 encounters, showcasing a dominant head-to-head record. The scorelines indicate a tendency towards one-sided results, with Al Shabab achieving several heavy victories, including a 4-1 win and a 4-0 win. Al-Hazm has struggled to find the back of the net, managing to score only twice in these matches, while Al Shabab consistently found success, often winning by at least two goals. Al-Hazm has not won against Al Shabab in over five years, highlighting a significant disparity in their historical matchups.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 14 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Al-Nassr | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  NEOM | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Al-Ettifaq | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | DWLLW |
| 9 | Al-Hazm | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 | WDDLL |
| 15 | Al Shabab | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 | LDDDL |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 3 | DDDLL |
| 17 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | DDLDL |
| 18 |  Abha | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Hazm have won 8 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Al Taawon 1-0 and drew with Al Shabab 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 6D 9L from the last 24 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Al Shabab have won 1 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Al-Hazm 1-1 and drew with Al Khaleej Saihat 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 9D 10L from the last 27 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Hazm
No reported absences
Al Shabab
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Hazm have averaged 5.1 corners per match at home; Al Shabab 6.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al Shabab have generated 1.48 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 30% of them. They put 5.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al Shabab player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.