Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Hazm to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Al-Hazm currently sits in 11th place in the Pro League standings with a record of one win and two losses from their first three matches. Their season has been marked by a recent uptick in form, as they have secured three wins in their last five matches. Notably, they have scored four goals while conceding five, indicating a competitive edge in their offensive play despite a negative goal difference. On the other hand, Al Taawon is positioned just below in 12th place, having yet to secure a win this season. Their record includes two draws and one loss, resulting in only two points from three matches. Their form has been less impressive, with just one win in the last five matches and a total of two goals scored. This lack of offensive output could be a significant challenge against a team like Al-Hazm that has shown a bit more scoring capability. The model output indicates a win probability of approximately 55% for Al-Hazm, along with a projected score of 2-1. A key market percentage suggests that Al-Hazm is favoured to win based on their recent form. However, a potential caveat could be Al Taawon’s ability to capitalize on defensive lapses, which could lead to an upset. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Al-Hazm manage games at home, conceding just 1.46 goals per match. Al Taawon score 1.31 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.5% probability.
Al-Hazm have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Al-Hazm are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.10 | 3.45 | 2.20 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.10 | |
| 3.65 | 3.28 | 1.88 | 1.88 | 1.82 | 1.74 | 1.93 | |
| 3.90 | 3.30 | 1.95 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 1.75 | 2.05 | |
| 3.98 | 3.47 | 1.95 | 1.98 | 1.86 | — | — | |
| 3.06 | 3.17 | 2.05 | 1.88 | 1.96 | — | — | |
| 3.50 | 3.10 | 1.95 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.00 | |
| 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.91 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 3.79 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 1.90 | 1.84 | 1.74 | 1.96 | |
| 3.20 | 3.30 | 1.98 | 1.77 | 1.98 | 1.60 | 2.17 | |
Betano | 3.95 | 3.55 | 1.93 | 1.91 | 1.93 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
Superbet | 3.70 | 3.45 | 2.05 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.78 | 1.95 |
BetVictor | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.91 | 1.85 | 1.82 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al Taawon leads 3-1)In the last 10 matches between Al-Hazm and Al Taawon, Al-Hazm has won 1 time, there have been 6 draws, and Al Taawon has won 3 times. The scorelines suggest a competitive rivalry, with a notable number of draws indicating tightly contested encounters, particularly in recent fixtures. Al-Hazm's sole victory came in a 2-0 win, while Al Taawon has recorded a significant 4-0 win, showcasing their ability to secure heavier victories. The last time Al-Hazm won against Al Taawon was in May 2026, highlighting a period of struggle in this matchup.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 14 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Al-Nassr | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  NEOM | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Al-Ettifaq | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | DWLLW |
| 9 | Al-Hazm | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 | WDDLL |
| 14 | Al Taawon | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | LDLDL |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 3 | DDDLL |
| 17 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | DDLDL |
| 18 |  Abha | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Hazm have won 8 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Al Taawon 1-0 and drew with Al Shabab 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 6D 9L from the last 24 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Al Taawon have won 4 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Al Taawon 1-0 and lost to Al-Nassr 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 9D 11L from the last 26 games (23% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Hazm
No reported absences
Al Taawon
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Hazm have averaged 5.1 corners per match at home; Al Taawon 5.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Hazm have generated 1.21 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 3.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Hazm player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.