Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win against Al-Ahli Jeddah, projecting a scoreline of 3-1. Al-Hilal currently sits in second place in the Pro League standings, having started the season strongly with a convincing win where they scored four goals and conceded two. Their overall form is solid, with three wins from their last five matches, indicating a potent attacking unit alongside a defence that has shown some vulnerability. On the other hand, Al-Ahli Jeddah also opened their season with a win, but their performance was less impressive, scoring only one goal without conceding. Their recent form includes two wins, one draw, and two losses in the last five matches, suggesting inconsistency which could be a concern moving forward. While they have shown the ability to keep clean sheets, their attacking output needs improvement to compete effectively against stronger teams. According to the model, Al-Hilal has a higher win probability, reflecting their stronger overall season performance and recent form. However, a potential caveat is Al-Ahli's defensive resilience, which could frustrate Al-Hilal's attack if they are not clinical. The full method behind these predictions is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.3% probability.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC have been the stronger side, winning 66% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC win as the most likely scoreline at 13.3% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Al-Hilal Saudi FC clean sheets, in line with their 48% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Al-Hilal Saudi FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.50 | 4.80 | 5.00 | 1.48 | 2.60 | 1.57 | 2.20 | |
| 1.47 | 4.33 | 5.00 | 1.41 | 2.52 | 1.52 | 2.30 | |
| 1.47 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
| 1.53 | 4.59 | 5.39 | 1.45 | 2.72 | — | — | |
| 1.38 | 4.40 | 5.70 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.44 | 4.00 | 5.00 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.30 | |
| 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.00 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 1.53 | 4.50 | 5.19 | 1.40 | 2.56 | 1.51 | 2.36 | |
| 1.48 | 4.25 | 5.20 | 1.45 | 2.65 | 1.53 | 2.30 | |
Betano | 1.57 | 4.50 | 5.30 | 1.52 | 2.60 | 1.60 | 2.27 |
Superbet | 1.55 | 4.65 | 5.20 | 1.48 | 2.67 | 1.57 | 2.30 |
BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.00 | 1.44 | 2.63 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al-Hilal Saudi FC leads 4-2)In the last 10 matches between Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Ahli Jeddah, Al-Hilal has won 4 times, Al-Ahli has won 2 times, and there have been 4 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches ending in draws and a mix of high-scoring games, such as the 3-3 draw and Al-Hilal's 4-2 win. Notably, Al-Ahli's last win against Al-Hilal came in April 2025, suggesting they have struggled to secure victories in recent encounters. Overall, the record reflects a balanced contest with some closely contested matches.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 14 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Al-Nassr | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  NEOM | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Al-Ettifaq | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | DWLLW |
| 7 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 9 | LWLLW |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 3 | DDDLL |
| 17 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | DDLDL |
| 18 |  Abha | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Hilal Saudi FC have won 8 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to NEOM 0-2 and beat Al-Ahli Jeddah 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 8D 2L from the last 29 games (66% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Al-Ahli Jeddah have won 7 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Al-Ahli Jeddah 3-2 and lost to Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 5D 8L from the last 34 games (62% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Hilal Saudi FC
No reported absences
Al-Ahli Jeddah
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Hilal Saudi FC have averaged 5.8 corners per match at home; Al-Ahli Jeddah 3.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Hilal Saudi FC have generated 2.45 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 66% of them. They put 7.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Hilal Saudi FC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.