Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Fayha Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Fayha
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Ittihad FC to win against Al-Fayha, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Al-Ittihad currently sits in second place in the Pro League standings, boasting a strong start to the season with two wins and one draw from their first three matches. They have scored five goals while conceding three, resulting in a positive goal difference of two. Their recent form has been impressive, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches, highlighting their offensive capabilities and defensive solidity. In contrast, Al-Fayha is struggling at the bottom of the table in 14th place, having played three matches without a win. Their record shows no victories, one draw, and two losses, with only one goal scored and five conceded. This has resulted in a goal difference of minus four, reflecting their difficulties both in attack and defense. Their recent form is concerning, with just one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches, indicating a need for significant improvement to turn their season around. The model outputs a win probability of around 65% for Al-Ittihad FC. While they are favoured to win, a key caveat is the potential for an upset if Al-Fayha manages to tighten their defense and capitalize on any mistakes. For a more detailed understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team explains their in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.3% probability.
Al-Ittihad FC have been the stronger side, winning 55% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Al-Ittihad FC win as the most likely scoreline at 13.3% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Al-Ittihad FC clean sheets, in line with their 29% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Al-Ittihad FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Fayha| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.35 | 4.80 | 8.00 | 1.48 | 2.60 | 1.67 | 2.05 | |
| 1.31 | 4.85 | 7.10 | 1.40 | 2.56 | 1.63 | 2.09 | |
| 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.50 | 1.44 | 2.60 | 1.65 | 2.10 | |
| 1.38 | 5.36 | 6.95 | 1.43 | 2.74 | — | — | |
| 1.32 | 4.67 | 6.57 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.36 | 4.40 | 6.50 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.10 | |
| 1.36 | 4.50 | 7.00 | 1.48 | 2.60 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.35 | 5.08 | 7.49 | 1.42 | 2.49 | 1.66 | 2.07 | |
| 1.35 | 4.80 | 6.40 | 1.41 | 2.75 | 1.60 | 2.17 | |
| 1.36 | 4.40 | 6.50 | 1.40 | 2.60 | 1.62 | 2.10 | |
Betano | 1.42 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 1.50 | 2.65 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
Superbet | 1.40 | 5.20 | 6.80 | 1.49 | 2.62 | 1.69 | 2.07 |
BetVictor | 1.33 | 4.80 | 7.00 | 1.44 | 2.63 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al-Ittihad FC leads 6-0)In their last 10 encounters, Al-Ittihad FC has won 6 times, while Al-Fayha has yet to secure a victory, with 4 matches ending in draws. The scorelines indicate a clear advantage for Al-Ittihad, particularly with three matches finishing with a margin of three goals. The results also show a tendency for low-scoring draws, as seen in four matches that ended 1-1 or 0-0. Al-Fayha has not won against Al-Ittihad in this period, highlighting a one-sided historical record that may influence future matchups.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 3 | Al-Ittihad FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 14 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Al-Nassr | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  NEOM | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Al-Ettifaq | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | DWLLW |
| 11 | Al-Fayha | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 | LDWDL |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 3 | DDDLL |
| 17 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | DDLDL |
| 18 |  Abha | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Ittihad FC have won 9 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Al-Fayha 2-1 and beat Al-Nassr 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 6D 8L from the last 31 games (55% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Al-Fayha have won 3 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Al-Fayha 2-1 and drew with Al Taawon 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 6D 12L from the last 27 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedAl-Ittihad FC4-3-1-2Confirmed
Al-Fayha4-4-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Ittihad FC
No reported absences
Al-Fayha
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Ittihad FC have averaged 5.4 corners per match at home; Al-Fayha 4.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Ittihad FC have generated 1.99 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 55% of them. They put 5.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Ittihad FC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.