Al Kholood vs Al-Ahli Jeddah Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al Kholood vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Ahli Jeddah to win against Al Kholood, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. Al-Ahli Jeddah currently sits in 7th position in the league, having won their opening match of the season while keeping a clean sheet. With one goal scored and none conceded, their defensive strength will be crucial as they look to build on this positive start. In contrast, Al Kholood is in 9th place after one match, having drawn their season opener. Their recent form shows a lack of wins, with three draws and two losses in their last five matches, indicating challenges in converting chances into victories. This trend may hinder their ability to secure points against a team like Al-Ahli Jeddah, who are looking to capitalize on their early momentum. The model indicates a win probability of around 60% for Al-Ahli Jeddah, suggesting they are the more likely side to take all three points. However, a potential caveat could be Al Kholood's ability to frustrate opponents and secure a draw, as they have shown resilience in their recent matches. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, the methodology involves an in-house model that analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs this data-driven approach to provide insights into each fixture.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.0% probability.
Al-Ahli Jeddah have been the stronger side, winning 62% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-2 Al-Ahli Jeddah win as the most likely scoreline at 16.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Al-Ahli Jeddah are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al Kholood vs Al-Ahli Jeddah| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 8.40 | 4.60 | 1.36 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.85 | 1.83 | |
| 7.10 | 4.55 | 1.33 | 1.69 | 2.04 | 1.91 | 1.76 | |
| 7.50 | 4.60 | 1.36 | 1.65 | 2.10 | 1.91 | 1.80 | |
| 7.00 | 4.85 | 1.41 | 1.75 | 2.11 | — | — | |
| 6.47 | 4.18 | 1.30 | — | — | — | — | |
| 6.50 | 4.20 | 1.36 | — | — | 1.85 | 1.80 | |
| 5.25 | 3.75 | 1.57 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 2.00 | 1.73 | |
| 7.55 | 4.90 | 1.36 | 1.71 | 2.06 | 1.91 | 1.78 | |
| 7.50 | 4.60 | 1.33 | 1.65 | 2.16 | 1.89 | 1.79 | |
Betano | 7.10 | 4.65 | 1.44 | 1.75 | 2.12 | 1.93 | 1.80 |
Superbet | 7.00 | 4.90 | 1.41 | 1.73 | 2.12 | 1.97 | 1.77 |
BetVictor | 7.00 | 4.20 | 1.40 | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.90 | 1.80 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 5 Meetings (Al-Ahli Jeddah leads 4-1)In the last five matches between Al Kholood and Al-Ahli Jeddah, Al Kholood has won 1 time, while Al-Ahli Jeddah has secured victory 4 times, resulting in no draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive but somewhat lopsided record, with Al-Ahli Jeddah often finding ways to edge out wins, including a notable 4-1 victory. Al Kholood's single win came in a narrow 1-0 match, suggesting that while they can compete, Al-Ahli Jeddah has generally had the upper hand. The most recent encounters have seen Al-Ahli Jeddah winning consistently, with Al Kholood last triumphing over them in 2025.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 14 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Al-Nassr | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  NEOM | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Al-Ettifaq | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | DWLLW |
| 7 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 9 | LWLLW |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 | DWDWD |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 3 | DDDLL |
| 17 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | DDLDL |
| 18 |  Abha | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl Kholood have won 2 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Al Kholood 3-2 and drew with Al Kholood 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 9D 10L from the last 25 games (24% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Al-Ahli Jeddah have won 7 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Al-Ahli Jeddah 3-2 and lost to Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 5D 8L from the last 34 games (62% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedAl Kholood4-2-3-1Confirmed
Al-Ahli Jeddah4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl Kholood
No reported absences
Al-Ahli Jeddah
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al Kholood have averaged 3.3 corners per match at home; Al-Ahli Jeddah 3.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Ahli Jeddah have generated 2.02 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 62% of them. They put 5.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Ahli Jeddah player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.