Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Qadisiyah FC to win this match against Al-Faisaly FC, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Al-Qadisiyah currently sits in a strong fourth position in the league after their opening match, having secured a victory with a solid goal difference of +2. Their recent form has been encouraging, with three wins, one draw, and only one loss in their last five matches, indicating a team that is both competitive and capable of scoring. On the other hand, Al-Faisaly FC finds themselves in a challenging position, currently 15th in the standings after one match, having lost their opener. Their recent form shows a mix of results, with four wins but also a recent loss, which suggests inconsistency. They have conceded four goals already, highlighting potential defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited by Al-Qadisiyah. According to the model, Al-Qadisiyah has a win probability of approximately 65%, while Al-Faisaly sits at 20%. The key market percentage to note is that Al-Qadisiyah is currently favored by the betting odds. However, it is important to consider that unexpected factors, such as injuries or changes in team dynamics, could impact the outcome. The full method used by The Daily Punt Analysis Team is outlined in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, leveraging expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.4% probability.
Al-Qadisiyah FC have been the stronger side, winning 67% of their matches.
Our model projects a 3-0 Al-Qadisiyah FC win as the most likely scoreline at 13.4% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Al-Qadisiyah FC clean sheets, in line with their 33% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Al-Qadisiyah FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.17 | 7.00 | 15.00 | 1.30 | 3.40 | 1.75 | 1.93 | |
| 1.11 | 8.00 | 12.25 | 1.22 | 3.50 | 1.74 | 1.93 | |
| 1.12 | 8.50 | 15.00 | 1.25 | 3.80 | 1.87 | 1.90 | |
| 1.15 | 8.87 | 12.87 | 1.26 | 3.68 | — | — | |
| 1.17 | 6.28 | 9.45 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.12 | 7.50 | 12.00 | — | — | 1.73 | 1.95 | |
| 1.14 | 7.00 | 12.00 | 1.28 | 3.60 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 1.12 | 9.50 | 14.50 | 1.22 | 3.50 | 1.74 | 1.96 | |
| 1.13 | 7.50 | 13.00 | 1.27 | 3.60 | 1.77 | 1.91 | |
Betano | 1.18 | 7.90 | 13.00 | 1.28 | 3.70 | 1.78 | 1.98 |
BetVictor | 1.13 | 7.50 | 13.00 | 1.25 | 3.70 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al-Faisaly FC leads 5-2)In the last 10 matches between Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Faisaly FC, Al-Qadisiyah has won 2, there have been 3 draws, and Al-Faisaly has won 5. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches ending in narrow margins; however, Al-Faisaly has achieved a few decisive victories, including a 3-0 win. The presence of three draws suggests a tendency for closely contested matches. Al-Qadisiyah's last victory over Al-Faisaly was in February 2024, indicating that they have struggled to find consistent success against this opponent in recent encounters.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 14 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Al-Nassr | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  NEOM | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Al-Ettifaq | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | DWLLW |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 3 | DDDLL |
| 17 | Al-Faisaly FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | DDLDL |
| 18 |  Abha | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Qadisiyah FC have won 8 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Al-Ahli Jeddah 3-2 and beat Al-Faisaly FC 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 6D 3L from the last 27 games (67% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Al-Faisaly FC have won 5 of their last 7 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Al-Faisaly FC 0-0 and lost to Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 4D 3L from the last 16 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Qadisiyah FC
No reported absences
Al-Faisaly FC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Qadisiyah FC have averaged 6.8 corners per match at home; Al-Faisaly FC 2.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Qadisiyah FC have generated 2.66 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 67% of them. They put 6.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Qadisiyah FC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.