Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood
Match Preview
The model favours Al Kholood to win this match against Al Riyadh, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Al Kholood currently sits in 8th place in the Pro League standings, having accumulated 5 points from their first three matches. They remain unbeaten so far, with one win and two draws, indicating a solid start to the season. Their defensive record is particularly noteworthy, conceding only 4 goals, which suggests they have been effective at limiting opposition chances. On the other hand, Al Riyadh finds themselves at the bottom of the table in 18th place. With just 1 point from three matches, they have struggled to find form, recording no wins and only one draw. Their goal difference of -6 highlights their defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded 11 goals while scoring only 5. This lack of resilience could prove detrimental against a more stable Al Kholood side. According to the model, Al Kholood has a win probability of around 55%, with the projected score being 2-1. However, a potential pitfall for Al Kholood could be underestimating an Al Riyadh side desperate for points, which may lead to a more competitive match than anticipated. The full methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as the analysis is based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season, conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Al Riyadh manage games at home, conceding just 1.72 goals per match. Al Kholood score 1.08 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.6% probability.
Al Kholood have been the stronger side, winning 24% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Al Kholood are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.90 | 3.32 | 1.81 | 2.03 | 1.70 | 1.86 | 1.80 | |
| 4.20 | 3.40 | 1.87 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 1.90 | 1.90 | |
| 4.17 | 3.57 | 1.88 | 2.10 | 1.75 | — | — | |
| 2.83 | 3.02 | 2.06 | 1.88 | 1.88 | — | — | |
| 3.80 | 3.10 | 1.83 | — | — | 1.85 | 1.83 | |
| 3.80 | 3.30 | 1.80 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 4.03 | 3.42 | 1.89 | 2.05 | 1.72 | 1.85 | 1.84 | |
| 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.33 | 1.82 | 1.92 | 1.63 | 2.12 | |
| 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.80 | 1.85 | 1.65 | 2.05 | |
Betano | 4.05 | 3.45 | 1.95 | 2.15 | 1.75 | 1.91 | 1.83 |
BetVictor | 4.00 | 3.30 | 1.83 | 2.01 | 1.69 | 1.87 | 1.83 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 8 Meetings (evenly matched 3-3)The head-to-head record between Al Riyadh and Al Kholood stands at three wins each, with two matches ending in draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several closely contested matches, including three encounters decided by a single goal. Notably, there have been two draws and a few high-scoring games, such as Al Kholood's 4-0 victory in 2017. Each team has experienced periods of dominance, but neither has been able to consistently outperform the other in recent fixtures, highlighting the even nature of their historical meetings.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 14 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Al-Nassr | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  NEOM | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Al-Ettifaq | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | DWLLW |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 | DWDWD |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 5 | DLWDL |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 3 | DDDLL |
| 17 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | DDLDL |
| 18 |  Abha | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl Riyadh have won 4 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Al Riyadh 1-0 and lost to Al Riyadh 0-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 8D 10L from the last 25 games (28% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Al Kholood have won 4 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Al Kholood 1-1 and beat Jeddah Club 0-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 9D 10L from the last 25 games (24% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl Riyadh
No reported absences
Al Kholood
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al Riyadh have averaged 4.6 corners per match at home; Al Kholood 3.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al Kholood have generated 1.07 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 24% of them. They put 3.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al Kholood player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.