Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh
Match Preview
The model favours Al Taawon to win against Al-Fateh, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Al Taawon currently sits in 12th place in the Pro League after two matches, with one point from a draw and a loss. Their goal difference stands at -1, having scored two goals while conceding three. The team is showing some positive momentum with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, indicating a more competitive edge compared to their opponents. Al-Fateh, on the other hand, is struggling at the bottom of the league in 16th place, having lost both of their opening matches without scoring a single goal. Their defensive issues are evident, with four goals conceded already, contributing to a goal difference of -4. The team has not found success recently, recording four losses and one draw in their last five matches, which highlights their ongoing difficulties on the pitch. The model suggests a win probability of 65% for Al Taawon, with the projected score being 2-0. A key market percentage to consider is Al Taawon winning by at least one goal, which stands at 55%. However, a potential caveat is that if Al Taawon fails to convert their chances early, they might struggle against a desperate Al-Fateh side looking to turn their season around. The full methodology of this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.5% probability.
Al Taawon have been the stronger side, winning 23% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Al Taawon are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.00 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 2.20 | |
| 1.76 | 3.70 | 3.70 | 1.55 | 2.29 | 1.52 | 2.30 | |
| 1.80 | 3.80 | 3.90 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.60 | 2.30 | |
| 1.81 | 4.00 | 3.97 | 1.58 | 2.40 | — | — | |
| 1.76 | 3.23 | 3.46 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.50 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.25 | |
| 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 1.82 | 3.84 | 3.84 | 1.57 | 2.32 | 1.52 | 2.34 | |
| 1.87 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.61 | 2.23 | 1.53 | 2.30 | |
Betano | 1.85 | 3.85 | 4.05 | 1.70 | 2.22 | 1.62 | 2.22 |
Superbet | 1.88 | 3.80 | 3.90 | 1.66 | 2.25 | 1.61 | 2.22 |
BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 1.55 | 2.24 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al Taawon leads 5-3)The head-to-head record between Al Taawon and Al-Fateh shows Al Taawon winning 5 matches, Al-Fateh winning 3, and 2 matches ending in a draw. The scorelines indicate a mix of close contests and a few decisive victories, with three matches ending with a margin of three goals. Al Taawon has secured several narrow wins, suggesting competitive encounters, but they also have a couple of heavy wins, notably the 5-2 victory. Al-Fateh's last win against Al Taawon occurred in December 2023, indicating a recent competitive balance, despite Al Taawon having the upper hand overall in this period.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 14 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Al-Nassr | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  NEOM | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Al-Ettifaq | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | DWLLW |
| 14 | Al Taawon | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | LDLDL |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 3 | DDDLL |
| 17 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | DDLDL |
| 18 |  Abha | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl Taawon have won 2 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Al Taawon 0-0 and drew with Al Taawon 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 9D 11L from the last 26 games (23% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Al-Fateh have won 0 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Al-Fateh 0-0 and drew with Al-Faisaly FC 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 3W 10D 12L from the last 25 games (12% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl Taawon
No reported absences
Al-Fateh
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al Taawon have averaged 5.8 corners per match at home; Al-Fateh 3.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al Taawon have generated 1.44 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 23% of them. They put 4.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al Taawon player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.