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Auda vs Dinamo Tirana Prediction, Tips & Odds

Auda vs Dinamo Tirana

UEFA Europa Conference League3rd Qualifying Round
Auda
WWWWW
1 - 0
Skonto stadions, Riga
Referee: J. Munuera
Dinamo Tirana
LWDWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.83
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.78 (implied 56.2%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 58.7% probability (an expert ratio of 1.70). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (58.7% vs 56.2%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Auda to win this match against Dinamo Tirana, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Auda has shown impressive form recently, securing four wins and one draw in their last five matches. This consistent performance suggests a solid team cohesion and effectiveness in front of goal, which could be pivotal in this knockout fixture. On the other hand, Dinamo Tirana's recent form indicates some inconsistency, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. While they have managed to secure points, their inability to convert draws into wins could be a concern as they face a confident Auda side. This inconsistency may hinder their ability to perform under pressure in a crucial match like this one. The model indicates a win probability of 55% for Auda, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat is that if Dinamo Tirana can tighten their defense and capitalize on counter-attacks, they could pose a serious threat. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results across the season. This analysis is conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Auda Win47%2.27
Draw24%3.21
Dinamo Tirana Win29%3.01
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7851.9%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.7353.6%

Auda manage games at home, conceding just 0.81 goals per match. Dinamo Tirana score 1.56 on the road.

Correct Score
Auda 1-1 Dinamo Tirana
5.7117.7%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.7% probability.

Asian Handicap
Auda -0.5
2.1641%

Auda have been the stronger side, winning 62% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
5.71
17.7%
1-0
6.81
14.8%
0-1
8.12
12.4%
2-1
8.32
12.2%
0-0
8.30
12.1%
1-2
9.86
10.3%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Auda
-0.0
1.64
Dinamo Tirana
+0.0
2.19
Auda
-0.3
1.93
Dinamo Tirana
+0.3
2.60
Auda
-0.5
2.16
Dinamo Tirana
+0.5
2.86
Auda
-1.5
4.50
Dinamo Tirana
+1.5
6.50

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Auda are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Auda vs Dinamo Tirana
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
2.243.253.002.051.731.801.85
Marathonbet
2.283.223.042.051.731.791.89
Betfair
2.203.103.002.101.651.801.95
Pinnacle
2.263.202.962.061.72
SBO
2.282.972.682.091.69
William Hill
2.303.103.001.751.95
Bet365
2.253.253.002.051.751.831.83
1xBet
2.363.333.142.101.771.791.92
Unibet
2.203.353.001.851.821.682.00
888Sport
2.303.103.002.051.701.751.95
Betano
2.273.303.102.051.751.781.93
Superbet
2.303.253.052.021.711.801.90
BetVictor
2.253.253.102.001.691.801.90

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
88.7%
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
46.4%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XAuda or Draw
71%1.34
12Auda or Dinamo Tirana
76%1.30
X2Draw or Dinamo Tirana
53%1.57

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Auda leads 1-0)
1 Auda0 Draw0 Dinamo Tirana
04 Aug
Auda
1-0
Dinamo Tirana
UEFA Europa Conference League

Auda has a perfect head-to-head record against Dinamo Tirana, winning 1 match while Dinamo Tirana has not secured any victories. The lone encounter ended with a narrow scoreline of 1-0 in favor of Auda, indicating that the match was tightly contested. Since this was the only fixture between the two teams, there is no draw to consider, and Dinamo Tirana has not won against Auda in their history.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
AudaDinamo Tirana
1.38Goals p.g.1.56
0.81Goals conceded p.g.1.38
50%Clean sheets19%
62%Win rate44%
2.19Avg goals in match2.94
Auda
Recent Form

Auda have won 6 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Auda 1-0 and beat Auda 4-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 10W 3D 3L from the last 16 games (63% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: AudaAll competitions
09 Aug
FS Jelgava
0-1
Auda
Virsliga
04 Aug
Auda
1-0
Dinamo Tirana
UEFA Europa Conference League
30 Jul
Auda
4-1
FCSB
UEFA Europa Conference League
26 Jul
Auda
1-0
BFC Daugavpils
Virsliga
23 Jul
FCSB
2-3
Auda
UEFA Europa Conference League
11 Jul
Auda
1-0
FK Liepaja
Cup
10
Win
63%
3
Draw
19%
3
Lost
19%
Dinamo Tirana
Recent Form

Dinamo Tirana have won 4 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Dinamo Tirana 1-0 and drew with Aluminij 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 3D 6L from the last 16 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Dinamo TiranaAll competitions
04 Aug
Auda
1-0
Dinamo Tirana
UEFA Europa Conference League
30 Jul
Dinamo Tirana
3-0
Aluminij
UEFA Europa Conference League
23 Jul
Aluminij
1-1
Dinamo Tirana
UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Jul
FC Astana
1-4
Dinamo Tirana
UEFA Europa Conference League
09 Jul
Dinamo Tirana
0-1
FC Astana
UEFA Europa Conference League
01 Jul
Struga
1-1
Dinamo Tirana
Friendlies Clubs
7
Win
44%
3
Draw
19%
6
Lost
38%

Lineups

Confirmed

Auda4-3-3Confirmed

6Ralfs KragliksDEF
4Moussa OuedraogoDEF
2Tin HrvojDEF
71Oskars RubenisDEF
47Kader KoneFWD
98Nils PurinsGK
25Barthelemy DiedhiouMID
17Eduards DaskevicsMID
10Wally FofanaMID
8Edvin BongembaMID
20Youba TraoreMID
80Sebastian ArandaDEF
7Andrews AppiahFWD
23Mohamoud FofanaFWD
26Hénoc LuswekiFWD
12Niks Daniels AleksandrovsGK
1Raivo SturinsGK
14Hussaini IbrahimMID
18Ariel ArroyoMID
46Jayen GeroldMID
77Jevgenijs MininsMID

Dinamo Tirana4-3-3Confirmed

13Fabjan PerndrecaDEF
22Bruno DitaDEF
2Ysni IsmailiDEF
27Naser AlijiDEF
29Hekuran BerishaFWD
77Aldo TeqjaGK
8Eridon QardakuMID
21Klevi QefalijaMID
28Isi ManellariMID
20Malomo Taofeek AyodejiMID
10Lorenco VilaMID
47LorranDEF
5Erion HoxhallariDEF
45Bright Aniekan JamesFWD
18Dejvi MetajFWD
11Ruben Silva-RichardsFWD
24Florenc FerrukuFWD
1Edmir SaliGK
97Tomas KiriGK
16Noel BletaMID
33David FadairoMID
88Flamur RuciMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Auda

No reported absences

Dinamo Tirana

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

Value Bets
Auda Win2.27 (46.7%)
Dinamo Tirana Win3.01 (29.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.04 (46.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.73 (53.6%)
Both Teams Score1.78 (51.9%)
BTTS No1.92 (48.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.21 (24.2%)

Yellow Card Prediction

J. Munuera has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by J. Munuera to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Auda average 1.4 goals per match at home; Dinamo Tirana 1.6 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Auda have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 62% of their matches and averaging 1.4 goals per game. Auda player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.