Beijing Guoan vs Sichuan Jiuniu Prediction, Tips & Odds
Beijing Guoan vs Sichuan Jiuniu
Match Preview
The model favours Beijing Guoan to win this match against Sichuan Jiuniu, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned 7th in the league, Beijing Guoan has shown strong form recently, recording four wins and one draw in their last five matches. With a total of 22 points from 18 games, they have scored 30 goals while conceding 24, resulting in a positive goal difference of 6. This season, their attacking capabilities have been a significant factor in their performance. On the other hand, Sichuan Jiuniu sits in 10th place with 20 points from 19 matches. Their recent form has been less encouraging, with only one win in their last five games, alongside three losses. They have scored 25 goals but have also conceded 33, leaving them with a negative goal difference of -8. This discrepancy in goal difference and overall performance suggests they have struggled to maintain consistency throughout the season. The model gives Beijing Guoan a win probability of approximately 55%, reflecting their superior form and position in the standings. A key market percentage indicates that they are favoured to win by at least one goal. However, if Sichuan Jiuniu manages to improve their defensive solidity and capitalise on any mistakes, they could pose a threat. The full method used to reach this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team through an in-house model that assesses expected goals and actual results across the season.
Head to Head
Last 6 Meetings (Sichuan Jiuniu leads 3-2)The head-to-head record between Beijing Guoan and Sichuan Jiuniu stands at 2 wins for Beijing Guoan, 1 draw, and 3 wins for Sichuan Jiuniu over the last 6 matches. The results show a competitive rivalry, with three of the six matches being decided by a single goal, indicating a tendency for tight contests. Sichuan Jiuniu has the upper hand with three victories, while Beijing Guoan's two wins include one comfortable 3-1 win. The most recent match-up in April 2026 saw Beijing Guoan claim a narrow victory, suggesting potential shifts in momentum.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 45 | DDDDD |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 29 | LDDLW |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 29 | DLWWL |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 28 | LWDLW |
| 5 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 28 | WDLWW |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 27 | WLLWL |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 26 | WDDWW |
| 11 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 20 | LLWLL |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 17 | WWWWL |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 15 | DWWLL |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 14 | LLLDW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBeijing Guoan have won 8 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Hangzhou Greentown 2-1 and drew with Shenyang Urban 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 8D 8L from the last 31 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Sichuan Jiuniu have won 3 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 12. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Sichuan Jiuniu 4-3 and drew with SHANGHAI SIPG 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 4D 17L from the last 31 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersBeijing Guoan
No reported absences
Sichuan Jiuniu
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
